Carrarese vs Cremonese

Fri 14 May, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Carrarese win · Most likely 38.6%
Draw 31.0%
Cremonese win 30.4%

Limited history for Cremonese. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 55%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 48%
Carrarese clean sheet 32%Avg 31%
Cremonese clean sheet 27%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 58%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 45%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 85%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 69%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.0%
2-18.5%
2-07.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Carrarese
  • Cremonese

Did you know?

  • Carrarese have underscored their xG by 0.51 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Carrarese have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Cremonese's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 6 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Carrarese have conceded in each of their last 5 matches.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Mar 25 Carrarese 2–2 Cremonese
24 Aug 24 Cremonese 1–0 Carrarese
2meetings
  • Carrarese win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 1 (50%)
  • Cremonese win · 1 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 55%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 8.50 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 4.50
Carrarese avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.28
Cremonese avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Cremonese 1–0 Carrarese (24 Aug 24).

Carrarese vs Cremonese head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Carrarese have not won, Cremonese have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Carrarese scored 2 goals and Cremonese scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Mar 2025, ended 2-2 at Carrarese. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Cremonese kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Carrarese
  • Open play side
Cremonese
  • Open play side
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    50% 10th of 20 50% 11th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 11th of 20 0.11 xG a shot 3rd of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 17th of 20 11% of xG 20th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 8th of 20 16% of shots 14th of 20

Where they differ

  • Cremonese wait for better chances than Carrarese, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.10.
  • Carrarese go more through the air than Cremonese, 19% of shots against 16%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Carrarese Cremonese
8 (0.8 avg) Goals 14 (1.4 avg)
133 (13.3 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Shots on Target 44 (4.4 avg)
31 (3.1 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (2.8 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Corners 35 (3.5 avg)
472 (78.7 avg) Attacks 466 (77.7 avg)
241 (40.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 236 (39.3 avg)
101 (10.1 avg) Key Passes 87 (8.7 avg)
4408 (440.8 avg) Passes 4456 (445.6 avg)
3678 (83%) Pass Accuracy 3684 (83%)
49% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Carrarese Cremonese
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (1.7 avg)
161 (16.1 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Fouls 98 (9.8 avg)
9 (1.3 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
477 (47.7 avg) Duels Won 418 (41.8 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 114 (11.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Carrarese

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Cremonese

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)