Estoril vs Nacional

Sun 24 Jan, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Estoril win · Most likely 43.3%
Draw 23.9%
Nacional win 32.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 52%
Estoril clean sheet 27%Avg 31%
Nacional clean sheet 22%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 57%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 44%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 85%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 69%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.5%
2-19.0%
2-06.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Estoril
  • Nacional

Did you know?

  • Estoril have won just 0 of their last 10 matches.
  • Estoril have gone 10 matches without a win.
  • Estoril have won just 0 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.2 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.6.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
16 Aug 26 Nacional 2–0 Estoril
15 Mar 26 Nacional 0–1 Estoril
26 Oct 25 Estoril 1–1 Nacional
15 Feb 25 Nacional 2–2 Estoril
15 Sep 24 Estoril 1–0 Nacional
5meetings
  • Estoril win · 2 (40%)
  • Draw · 2 (40%)
  • Nacional win · 1 (20%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 20% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 40% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 40% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 9.60 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 6.20 League avg: 4.95
Estoril avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.32
Nacional avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 2–0 Estoril (16 Aug 26).

Estoril vs Nacional head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Estoril have won 2 times, Nacional have won once and 2 ended in a draw. Estoril scored 5 goals and Nacional scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 16 Aug 2026, was won 2-0 by Nacional, at home against Estoril. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 5 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Estoril kept 2 clean sheets and Nacional kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Estoril
  • Shoots on sight
  • Plays on the floor
  • Open play side
Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    49% 9th of 18 48% 12th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.08 xG a shot 18th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    16% of xG 17th of 18 28% of xG 8th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    11% of shots 18th of 18 21% of shots 3rd of 18

Where they differ

  • Nacional go more through the air than Estoril, 21% of shots against 11%.
  • Nacional get more of their chances from set pieces than Estoril, 28% against 16%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Estoril Nacional
5 (0.5 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Total Shots 109 (10.9 avg)
47 (4.7 avg) Shots on Target 32 (3.2 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 30 (3.0 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Corners 43 (4.3 avg)
826 (82.6 avg) Attacks 672 (74.7 avg)
396 (39.6 avg) Dangerous Attacks 316 (35.1 avg)
104 (10.4 avg) Key Passes 70 (7.8 avg)
4020 (402.0 avg) Passes 3787 (378.7 avg)
3226 (80%) Pass Accuracy 3062 (81%)
46% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Estoril Nacional
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Tackles 175 (17.5 avg)
112 (11.2 avg) Fouls 111 (11.1 avg)
6 (0.6 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
454 (45.4 avg) Duels Won 433 (48.1 avg)
120 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 132 (14.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Estoril

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)