Estrela Amadora vs Alverca

Sun 24 Jan, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Estrela Amadora win 35.9%
Draw 24.1%
Alverca win · Most likely 40.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 52%
Estrela Amadora clean sheet 24%Avg 31%
Alverca clean sheet 26%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 52%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 39%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 89%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 76%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-110.3%
1-28.6%
0-26.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Estrela Amadora
  • Alverca

Did you know?

  • Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Estrela Amadora's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Estrela Amadora have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Estrela Amadora have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Aug 26 Alverca 2–2 Estrela Amadora
31 Jan 26 Alverca 1–1 Estrela Amadora
25 Aug 25 Estrela Amadora 2–2 Alverca
3meetings
  • Estrela Amadora win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 3 (100%)
  • Alverca win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 3.33 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 0% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 7.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 7.00 League avg: 4.95
Estrela Amadora avg. goals 1.67 League avg: 1.32
Alverca avg. goals 1.67 League avg: 1.32

Estrela Amadora vs Alverca head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Estrela Amadora have not won, Alverca have not won and 3 ended in a draw. Estrela Amadora scored 5 goals and Alverca scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Aug 2026, ended 2-2 at Alverca. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 3 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Estrela Amadora
  • Open play side
  • Crosses and headers
Alverca
  • Cedes possession
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 10th of 18 43% 16th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 7th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 5th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 14th of 18 28% of xG 8th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    20% of shots 6th of 18 21% of shots 4th of 18

Where they differ

  • Estrela Amadora see much more of the ball than Alverca, 48% against 43%.
  • Alverca get more of their chances from set pieces than Estrela Amadora, 28% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Estrela Amadora Alverca
15 (1.5 avg) Goals 14 (1.4 avg)
131 (13.1 avg) Total Shots 115 (11.5 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 38 (3.8 avg)
35 (3.5 avg) Blocked Shots 24 (2.4 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Corners 46 (4.6 avg)
857 (85.7 avg) Attacks 739 (73.9 avg)
443 (44.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 362 (36.2 avg)
98 (9.8 avg) Key Passes 81 (9.0 avg)
4190 (419.0 avg) Passes 3421 (342.1 avg)
3489 (83%) Pass Accuracy 2696 (79%)
52% Ball Possession 41%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Estrela Amadora Alverca
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 3 (0.3 avg)
21 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
173 (17.3 avg) Tackles 182 (18.2 avg)
114 (11.4 avg) Fouls 147 (14.7 avg)
11 (1.6 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
480 (48.0 avg) Duels Won 386 (42.9 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 67 (7.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Estrela Amadora

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Alverca

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)