Lecce vs AC Milan

Sun 25 Apr, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Lecce win 19.5%
Draw 24.3%
AC Milan win · Most likely 56.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 47%
Lecce clean sheet 18%Avg 30%
AC Milan clean sheet 39%Avg 29%
Over 8.5 corners 49%Avg 54%
Over 9.5 corners 36%Avg 43%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-112.4%
0-210.2%
1-29.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Lecce
  • AC Milan

Did you know?

  • AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • AC Milan have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • AC Milan have not lost to Lecce in their last 11 meetings.
  • AC Milan's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
20 Sep 26 AC Milan 3–0 Lecce
18 Jan 26 AC Milan 1–0 Lecce
29 Aug 25 Lecce 0–2 AC Milan
08 Mar 25 Lecce 2–3 AC Milan
27 Sep 24 AC Milan 3–0 Lecce
06 Apr 24 AC Milan 3–0 Lecce
11 Nov 23 Lecce 2–2 AC Milan
23 Apr 23 AC Milan 2–0 Lecce
14 Jan 23 Lecce 2–2 AC Milan
22 Jun 20 Lecce 1–4 AC Milan
20 Oct 19 AC Milan 2–2 Lecce
11meetings
  • Lecce win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 3 (27%)
  • AC Milan win · 8 (73%)
Avg. total goals 3.27 League avg: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals 73% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 45% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 45% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 8.45 League avg: 9.03
Avg. total cards 3.00 League avg: 3.77
Lecce avg. goals 0.82 League avg: 1.25
AC Milan avg. goals 2.45 League avg: 1.25

Biggest win: AC Milan 3–0 Lecce (20 Sep 26).

Lecce vs AC Milan head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Lecce have not won, AC Milan have won 8 times and 3 ended in a draw. Lecce scored 9 goals and AC Milan scored 27 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 20 Sep 2026, was won 3-0 by AC Milan, at home against Lecce. AC Milan are unbeaten in the last 11 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 11 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. AC Milan kept 6.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Lecce AC Milan
6 (1.0 avg) Goals 11 (1.8 avg)
61 (10.2 avg) Total Shots 75 (12.5 avg)
22 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 27 (4.5 avg)
13 (2.6 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (3.3 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Corners 19 (3.2 avg)
597 (99.5 avg) Attacks 570 (95.0 avg)
214 (35.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 268 (44.7 avg)
39 (6.5 avg) Key Passes 65 (10.8 avg)
2188 (364.7 avg) Passes 3486 (581.0 avg)
1731 (79%) Pass Accuracy 3105 (89%)
42% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Lecce AC Milan
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (2.0 avg)
130 (21.7 avg) Tackles 91 (15.2 avg)
80 (13.3 avg) Fouls 62 (10.3 avg)
5 (0.8 avg) Offsides 7 (1.2 avg)
307 (51.2 avg) Duels Won 273 (45.5 avg)
82 (13.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 72 (12.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Lecce

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

AC Milan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)