Man United vs Arsenal

Sat 27 Feb, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Man United win 29.4%
Draw 28.2%
Arsenal win · Most likely 42.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 80%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 56%
Man United clean sheet 22%Avg 26%
Arsenal clean sheet 29%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 72%Avg 66%
Over 9.5 corners 60%Avg 56%
Over 2.5 cards 71%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 51%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.1%
0-19.0%
0-27.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Man United
  • Arsenal

Did you know?

  • Arsenal have won 9 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Arsenal's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Arsenal have underscored their xG by 0.54 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Man United have conceded in each of their last 6 matches.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Jan 26 Arsenal 2–3 Man United
17 Aug 25 Man United 0–1 Arsenal
09 Mar 25 Man United 1–1 Arsenal
04 Dec 24 Arsenal 2–0 Man United
12 May 24 Man United 0–1 Arsenal
03 Sep 23 Arsenal 3–1 Man United
22 Jan 23 Arsenal 3–2 Man United
04 Sep 22 Man United 3–1 Arsenal
23 Apr 22 Arsenal 3–1 Man United
02 Dec 21 Man United 3–2 Arsenal
30 Jan 21 Arsenal 0–0 Man United
01 Nov 20 Man United 0–1 Arsenal
01 Jan 20 Arsenal 2–0 Man United
30 Sep 19 Man United 1–1 Arsenal
10 Mar 19 Arsenal 2–0 Man United
05 Dec 18 Man United 2–2 Arsenal
16meetings
  • Man United win · 3 (19%)
  • Draw · 4 (25%)
  • Arsenal win · 9 (56%)
Avg. total goals 2.75 League avg: 2.85
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 56%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 10.31 League avg: 9.89
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 3.91
Man United avg. goals 1.06 League avg: 1.42
Arsenal avg. goals 1.69 League avg: 1.42

Biggest win: Arsenal 2–0 Man United (04 Dec 24).

Man United vs Arsenal head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Man United have won 3 times, Arsenal have won 9 times and 4 ended in a draw. Man United scored 17 goals and Arsenal scored 27 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Jan 2026, was won 3-2 by Man United, away at Arsenal. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 16 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Man United kept 1 clean sheet and Arsenal kept 7.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Man United Arsenal
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 10 (1.7 avg)
125 (20.8 avg) Total Shots 77 (12.8 avg)
32 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 30 (5.0 avg)
46 (7.7 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (4.2 avg)
40 (6.7 avg) Corners 27 (4.5 avg)
641 (106.8 avg) Attacks 583 (97.2 avg)
388 (64.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 317 (52.8 avg)
92 (15.3 avg) Key Passes 65 (10.8 avg)
3298 (549.7 avg) Passes 3003 (500.5 avg)
2891 (88%) Pass Accuracy 2599 (87%)
58% Ball Possession 59%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Man United Arsenal
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 8 (1.3 avg)
94 (15.7 avg) Tackles 71 (11.8 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Fouls 62 (10.3 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 26 (4.3 avg)
274 (45.7 avg) Duels Won 286 (47.7 avg)
75 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 91 (15.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Man United

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Arsenal

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)