Modena vs Carrarese

Sat 23 Jan, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 22 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Modena win · Most likely 50.8%
Draw 29.6%
Carrarese win 19.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 43%Avg 48%
Modena clean sheet 41%Avg 31%
Carrarese clean sheet 22%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 68%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 55%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 66%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.5%
2-010.2%
2-19.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Modena
  • Carrarese

Did you know?

  • Modena's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Modena have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Carrarese have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Whoever has hosted has won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Oct 26 Carrarese 2–1 Modena
14 Feb 26 Modena 2–0 Carrarese
01 Oct 25 Carrarese 0–0 Modena
04 May 25 Carrarese 2–1 Modena
09 Nov 24 Modena 2–0 Carrarese
5meetings
  • Modena win · 2 (40%)
  • Draw · 1 (20%)
  • Carrarese win · 2 (40%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 40% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 80% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.80 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 6.80 League avg: 4.50
Modena avg. goals 1.20 League avg: 1.28
Carrarese avg. goals 0.80 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Modena 2–0 Carrarese (14 Feb 26).

Modena vs Carrarese head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Modena have won 2 times, Carrarese have won 2 times and 1 ended in a draw. Modena scored 6 goals and Carrarese scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Oct 2026, was won 2-1 by Carrarese, at home against Modena. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 5 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Modena kept 3 clean sheets and Carrarese kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Modena
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Carrarese
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 20 48% 13th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 19th of 20 0.10 xG a shot 8th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 10th of 20 21% of xG 16th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 16th of 20 17% of shots 11th of 20

Where they differ

  • Carrarese wait for better chances than Modena, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Modena see much more of the ball than Carrarese, 53% against 48%.
  • Modena get more of their chances from set pieces than Carrarese, 24% against 21%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Modena Carrarese
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 9 (0.9 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Total Shots 130 (13.0 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 36 (3.6 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Blocked Shots 31 (3.1 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
414 (82.8 avg) Attacks 372 (74.4 avg)
226 (45.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 186 (37.2 avg)
132 (13.2 avg) Key Passes 101 (10.1 avg)
4868 (486.8 avg) Passes 4222 (422.2 avg)
4219 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3473 (82%)
57% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Modena Carrarese
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 163 (16.3 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 143 (14.3 avg)
26 (2.9 avg) Offsides 10 (1.2 avg)
482 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 493 (49.3 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 146 (14.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Modena

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Carrarese

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 10 (100%)
  • Over · 0 (0%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)