Modena vs Padova

Sun 29 Nov, 14:00 UTC · Matchweek 14 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Modena win · Most likely 54.4%
Draw 28.5%
Padova win 17.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 47%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 43%Avg 48%
Modena clean sheet 44%Avg 31%
Padova clean sheet 20%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 52%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 39%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-013.0%
2-011.1%
2-19.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Modena
  • Padova

Did you know?

  • Modena's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Modena have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Modena's last 10 matches.
  • Modena's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
28 Feb 26 Modena 1–2 Padova
11 Jan 26 Padova 2–0 Modena
2meetings
  • Modena win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Padova win · 2 (100%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.50 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 4.50 League avg: 4.50
Modena avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.28
Padova avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Padova 2–0 Modena (11 Jan 26).

Modena vs Padova head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Modena have not won, Padova have won 2 times and none ended in a draw. Modena scored 1 goal and Padova scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 28 Feb 2026, was won 2-1 by Padova, away at Modena. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Padova kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Modena
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Padova
  • Cedes possession
  • Open play side
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 20 44% 19th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 19th of 20 0.09 xG a shot 15th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 10th of 20 21% of xG 17th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 16th of 20 19% of shots 7th of 20

Where they differ

  • Modena see much more of the ball than Padova, 53% against 44%.
  • Padova go more through the air than Modena, 19% of shots against 15%.
  • Modena get more of their chances from set pieces than Padova, 24% against 21%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Modena Padova
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Total Shots 109 (10.9 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 33 (3.3 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (2.8 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 44 (4.4 avg)
414 (82.8 avg) Attacks 457 (76.2 avg)
226 (45.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 203 (33.8 avg)
132 (13.2 avg) Key Passes 82 (8.2 avg)
4868 (486.8 avg) Passes 3891 (389.1 avg)
4219 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3153 (81%)
57% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Modena Padova
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 22 (2.2 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 181 (18.1 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 119 (11.9 avg)
26 (2.9 avg) Offsides 28 (2.8 avg)
482 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 467 (46.7 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 125 (12.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Modena

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Padova

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)