Modena vs Palermo

Sun 27 Dec, 11:30 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Modena win · Most likely 38.6%
Draw 30.3%
Palermo win 31.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 47%Avg 48%
Modena clean sheet 30%Avg 31%
Palermo clean sheet 25%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 55%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 42%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 59%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.0%
2-18.6%
2-06.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Modena
  • Palermo

Did you know?

  • Palermo's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Palermo have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Palermo are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Palermo have not lost to Modena in their last 8 meetings.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Jan 26 Modena 0–0 Palermo
19 Oct 25 Palermo 1–1 Modena
12 Jan 25 Palermo 2–0 Modena
19 Oct 24 Modena 2–2 Palermo
20 Jan 24 Palermo 4–2 Modena
07 Oct 23 Modena 0–2 Palermo
17 Mar 23 Palermo 5–2 Modena
29 Oct 22 Modena 0–2 Palermo
8meetings
  • Modena win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 3 (38%)
  • Palermo win · 5 (62%)
Avg. total goals 3.12 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 38% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 4.12 League avg: 4.50
Modena avg. goals 0.88 League avg: 1.28
Palermo avg. goals 2.25 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Palermo 5–2 Modena (17 Mar 23).

Modena vs Palermo head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Modena have not won, Palermo have won 5 times and 3 ended in a draw. Modena scored 7 goals and Palermo scored 18 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Jan 2026, ended 0-0 at Modena. Palermo are unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Modena kept 1 clean sheet and Palermo kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Modena
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Palermo
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 20 48% 14th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 19th of 20 0.11 xG a shot 3rd of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 10th of 20 26% of xG 9th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 16th of 20 18% of shots 8th of 20

Where they differ

  • Palermo wait for better chances than Modena, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Modena see much more of the ball than Palermo, 53% against 48%.
  • Palermo go more through the air than Modena, 18% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Modena Palermo
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 24 (2.4 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Total Shots 182 (18.2 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 61 (6.1 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Blocked Shots 54 (5.4 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 38 (3.8 avg)
414 (82.8 avg) Attacks 461 (76.8 avg)
226 (45.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 254 (42.3 avg)
132 (13.2 avg) Key Passes 126 (12.6 avg)
4868 (486.8 avg) Passes 4304 (430.4 avg)
4219 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3476 (81%)
57% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Modena Palermo
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (1.2 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 154 (15.4 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 105 (10.5 avg)
26 (2.9 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
482 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 468 (46.8 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 142 (14.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Modena

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Palermo

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 9 (90%)
  • No · 1 (10%)