Nacional vs Porto

Sat 08 May, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Nacional win 16.2%
Draw 20.0%
Porto win · Most likely 63.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 53%Avg 52%
Nacional clean sheet 14%Avg 31%
Porto clean sheet 42%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 68%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 56%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 72%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-113.0%
0-211.2%
1-210.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Nacional
  • Porto

Did you know?

  • Porto have won 10 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Porto have picked up just 1.0 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.6.
  • Porto have won their last 10 matches in a row.
  • Porto are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Feb 26 Nacional 0–1 Porto
13 Sep 25 Porto 1–0 Nacional
17 May 25 Porto 3–0 Nacional
12 Jan 25 Nacional 2–0 Porto
4meetings
  • Nacional win · 1 (25%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Porto win · 3 (75%)
Avg. total goals 1.75 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 0% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 75% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 7.00 League avg: 4.95
Nacional avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.32
Porto avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Porto 3–0 Nacional (17 May 25).

Nacional vs Porto head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Nacional have won once, Porto have won 3 times and none ended in a draw. Nacional scored 2 goals and Porto scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Feb 2026, was won 1-0 by Porto, away at Nacional. Porto have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 0 of 4 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Nacional kept 1 clean sheet and Porto kept 3.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
Porto
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 10th of 18 55% 4th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18 0.13 xG a shot 2nd of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    29% of xG 7th of 18 22% of xG 15th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    23% of shots 2nd of 18 16% of shots 13th of 18

Where they differ

  • Porto wait for better chances than Nacional, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Nacional go more through the air than Porto, 23% of shots against 16%.
  • Nacional get more of their chances from set pieces than Porto, 29% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Nacional Porto
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 25 (2.5 avg)
100 (10.0 avg) Total Shots 166 (16.6 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Shots on Target 67 (6.7 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Blocked Shots 46 (4.6 avg)
41 (4.1 avg) Corners 70 (7.0 avg)
682 (75.8 avg) Attacks 629 (78.6 avg)
314 (34.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 377 (47.1 avg)
78 (7.8 avg) Key Passes 125 (12.5 avg)
3818 (381.8 avg) Passes 4500 (450.0 avg)
3080 (81%) Pass Accuracy 3850 (86%)
47% Ball Possession 56%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Nacional Porto
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
15 (1.5 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (1.0 avg)
170 (17.0 avg) Tackles 146 (14.6 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 141 (14.1 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Offsides 23 (2.6 avg)
491 (49.1 avg) Duels Won 434 (43.4 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 145 (14.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Porto

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)