Paderborn vs Mainz

Sat 23 Jan, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 18 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Paderborn win 23.2%
Draw 23.0%
Mainz win · Most likely 53.8%

Limited history for Paderborn. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 64%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 64%Avg 62%
Paderborn clean sheet 13%Avg 26%
Mainz clean sheet 27%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 62%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 49%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.6%
0-27.3%
0-17.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Paderborn
  • Mainz

Did you know?

  • Paderborn have won just 1 of their last 10 matches.
  • Paderborn have won just 1 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Mainz's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Paderborn have conceded in each of their last 5 matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
29 Aug 26 Mainz 0–0 Paderborn
29 Feb 20 Mainz 2–0 Paderborn
05 Oct 19 Paderborn 1–2 Mainz
3meetings
  • Paderborn win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 1 (33%)
  • Mainz win · 2 (67%)
Avg. total goals 1.67 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 33% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 14.33 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 3.82
Paderborn avg. goals 0.33 League avg: 1.60
Mainz avg. goals 1.33 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Mainz 2–0 Paderborn (29 Feb 20).

Paderborn vs Mainz head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Paderborn have not won, Mainz have won 2 times and 1 ended in a draw. Paderborn scored 1 goal and Mainz scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 29 Aug 2026, ended 0-0 at Mainz. Mainz are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 3 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Paderborn kept 1 clean sheet and Mainz kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Paderborn Mainz
5 (0.8 avg) Goals 14 (2.3 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Total Shots 106 (17.7 avg)
17 (2.8 avg) Shots on Target 36 (6.0 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (4.3 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 29 (4.8 avg)
593 (98.8 avg) Attacks 628 (104.7 avg)
275 (45.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 318 (53.0 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Key Passes 81 (13.5 avg)
2671 (445.2 avg) Passes 2676 (446.0 avg)
2159 (81%) Pass Accuracy 2139 (80%)
46% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Paderborn Mainz
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.3 avg)
116 (19.3 avg) Tackles 102 (17.0 avg)
63 (10.5 avg) Fouls 83 (13.8 avg)
6 (1.0 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)
339 (56.5 avg) Duels Won 315 (52.5 avg)
123 (20.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 124 (20.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Paderborn

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)