Padova vs Modena

Sat 20 Feb, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Padova win 26.3%
Draw 33.3%
Modena win · Most likely 40.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 45%Avg 55%
Over 1.5 goals 64%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 36%Avg 48%
Padova clean sheet 30%Avg 31%
Modena clean sheet 39%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 62%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 49%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 82%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 65%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-112.7%
0-28.3%
1-28.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Padova
  • Modena

Did you know?

  • Modena have scored in 8 consecutive matches.
  • Modena's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Padova have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.
  • Modena have picked up just 1.5 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.3.

H2H

All 2 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
28 Feb 26 Modena 1–2 Padova
11 Jan 26 Padova 2–0 Modena
2meetings
  • Padova win · 2 (100%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Modena win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 2.50 League avg: 2.55
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 55%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.50 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 4.50 League avg: 4.50
Padova avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.28
Modena avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Padova 2–0 Modena (11 Jan 26).

Padova vs Modena head to head: in the previous 2 meetings, Padova have won 2 times, Modena have not won and none ended in a draw. Padova scored 4 goals and Modena scored 1 goal in these matches. The latest meeting, on 28 Feb 2026, was won 2-1 by Padova, away at Modena. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 2 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Padova kept 1 clean sheet.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Padova
  • Cedes possession
  • Open play side
  • Shoots on sight
Modena
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    44% 19th of 20 54% 3rd of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 15th of 20 0.09 xG a shot 19th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    21% of xG 17th of 20 24% of xG 10th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 7th of 20 15% of shots 16th of 20

Where they differ

  • Modena see much more of the ball than Padova, 54% against 44%.
  • Padova go more through the air than Modena, 19% of shots against 15%.
  • Modena get more of their chances from set pieces than Padova, 24% against 21%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Padova Modena
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
109 (10.9 avg) Total Shots 184 (18.4 avg)
33 (3.3 avg) Shots on Target 56 (5.6 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Blocked Shots 47 (4.7 avg)
44 (4.4 avg) Corners 50 (5.0 avg)
457 (76.2 avg) Attacks 508 (84.7 avg)
203 (33.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 259 (43.2 avg)
82 (8.2 avg) Key Passes 126 (14.0 avg)
3891 (389.1 avg) Passes 4937 (493.7 avg)
3153 (81%) Pass Accuracy 4257 (86%)
44% Ball Possession 57%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Padova Modena
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
181 (18.1 avg) Tackles 140 (14.0 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Fouls 121 (12.1 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Offsides 26 (2.9 avg)
467 (46.7 avg) Duels Won 454 (50.4 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 130 (14.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Padova

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Modena

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)