Palermo vs Modena

Sat 06 Mar, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 29 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Palermo win · Most likely 49.4%
Draw 28.5%
Modena win 22.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 48%
Palermo clean sheet 35%Avg 31%
Modena clean sheet 20%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 57%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 59%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.2%
2-19.6%
2-09.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Palermo
  • Modena

Did you know?

  • Palermo's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Palermo are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Palermo have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Palermo have not lost to Modena in their last 8 meetings.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
24 Jan 26 Modena 0–0 Palermo
19 Oct 25 Palermo 1–1 Modena
12 Jan 25 Palermo 2–0 Modena
19 Oct 24 Modena 2–2 Palermo
20 Jan 24 Palermo 4–2 Modena
07 Oct 23 Modena 0–2 Palermo
17 Mar 23 Palermo 5–2 Modena
29 Oct 22 Modena 0–2 Palermo
8meetings
  • Palermo win · 5 (62%)
  • Draw · 3 (38%)
  • Modena win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 3.12 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 38% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 38% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 4.12 League avg: 4.50
Palermo avg. goals 2.25 League avg: 1.28
Modena avg. goals 0.88 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Palermo 5–2 Modena (17 Mar 23).

Palermo vs Modena head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, Palermo have won 5 times, Modena have not won and 3 ended in a draw. Palermo scored 18 goals and Modena scored 7 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 Jan 2026, ended 0-0 at Modena. Palermo are unbeaten in the last 8 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 8 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Palermo kept 4 clean sheets and Modena kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Palermo
  • Selective shooters
Modena
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    48% 14th of 20 53% 4th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 3rd of 20 0.09 xG a shot 19th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    26% of xG 9th of 20 24% of xG 10th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    18% of shots 8th of 20 15% of shots 16th of 20

Where they differ

  • Palermo wait for better chances than Modena, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Modena see much more of the ball than Palermo, 53% against 48%.
  • Palermo go more through the air than Modena, 18% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Palermo Modena
24 (2.4 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Total Shots 182 (18.2 avg)
61 (6.1 avg) Shots on Target 53 (5.3 avg)
54 (5.4 avg) Blocked Shots 49 (4.9 avg)
38 (3.8 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
461 (76.8 avg) Attacks 414 (82.8 avg)
254 (42.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 226 (45.2 avg)
126 (12.6 avg) Key Passes 132 (13.2 avg)
4304 (430.4 avg) Passes 4868 (486.8 avg)
3476 (81%) Pass Accuracy 4219 (87%)
49% Ball Possession 57%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Palermo Modena
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
12 (1.2 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (1.7 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
105 (10.5 avg) Fouls 117 (11.7 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Offsides 26 (2.9 avg)
468 (46.8 avg) Duels Won 482 (48.2 avg)
142 (14.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 135 (13.5 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Palermo

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 9 (90%)
  • No · 1 (10%)

Modena

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)