Porto vs Nacional

Sun 27 Dec, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Porto win · Most likely 76.5%
Draw 14.6%
Nacional win 8.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 46%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 52%
Porto clean sheet 49%Avg 31%
Nacional clean sheet 9%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 54%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 63%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-012.7%
1-011.6%
3-010.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Porto
  • Nacional

Did you know?

  • Porto have won 10 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Porto have won their last 10 matches in a row.
  • Porto are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • Porto have scored in 10 consecutive matches.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
15 Feb 26 Nacional 0–1 Porto
13 Sep 25 Porto 1–0 Nacional
17 May 25 Porto 3–0 Nacional
12 Jan 25 Nacional 2–0 Porto
4meetings
  • Porto win · 3 (75%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Nacional win · 1 (25%)
Avg. total goals 1.75 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 0% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 75% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 11.00 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 7.00 League avg: 4.95
Porto avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.32
Nacional avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Porto 3–0 Nacional (17 May 25).

Porto vs Nacional head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Porto have won 3 times, Nacional have won once and none ended in a draw. Porto scored 5 goals and Nacional scored 2 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 15 Feb 2026, was won 1-0 by Porto, away at Nacional. Porto have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 0 of 4 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Porto kept 3 clean sheets and Nacional kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Porto
  • Selective shooters
  • Keeps the ball
  • Open play side
Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    55% 4th of 18 48% 10th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.13 xG a shot 2nd of 18 0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    22% of xG 15th of 18 29% of xG 7th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    16% of shots 13th of 18 23% of shots 2nd of 18

Where they differ

  • Porto wait for better chances than Nacional, 0.13 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Nacional go more through the air than Porto, 23% of shots against 16%.
  • Nacional get more of their chances from set pieces than Porto, 29% against 22%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Porto Nacional
25 (2.5 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
166 (16.6 avg) Total Shots 100 (10.0 avg)
67 (6.7 avg) Shots on Target 30 (3.0 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Blocked Shots 23 (2.3 avg)
70 (7.0 avg) Corners 41 (4.1 avg)
629 (78.6 avg) Attacks 682 (75.8 avg)
377 (47.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 314 (34.9 avg)
125 (12.5 avg) Key Passes 78 (7.8 avg)
4500 (450.0 avg) Passes 3818 (381.8 avg)
3850 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3080 (81%)
56% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Porto Nacional
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
10 (1.0 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Tackles 170 (17.0 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Fouls 117 (11.7 avg)
23 (2.6 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
434 (43.4 avg) Duels Won 491 (49.1 avg)
145 (14.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 154 (15.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Porto

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)