Roma vs AC Milan

Sat 09 Jan, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Roma win · Most likely 49.8%
Draw 25.5%
AC Milan win 24.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 50%Avg 47%
Roma clean sheet 33%Avg 30%
AC Milan clean sheet 20%Avg 29%
Over 8.5 corners 60%Avg 54%
Over 9.5 corners 47%Avg 43%
Over 2.5 cards 73%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 52%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.1%
2-19.7%
2-08.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Roma
  • AC Milan

Did you know?

  • AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Roma are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.
  • AC Milan have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • AC Milan's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Jan 26 Roma 1–1 AC Milan
02 Nov 25 AC Milan 1–0 Roma
18 May 25 Roma 3–1 AC Milan
29 Dec 24 AC Milan 1–1 Roma
14 Jan 24 AC Milan 3–1 Roma
01 Sep 23 Roma 1–2 AC Milan
29 Apr 23 Roma 1–1 AC Milan
08 Jan 23 AC Milan 2–2 Roma
06 Jan 22 AC Milan 3–1 Roma
31 Oct 21 Roma 1–2 AC Milan
28 Feb 21 Roma 1–2 AC Milan
26 Oct 20 AC Milan 3–3 Roma
28 Jun 20 AC Milan 2–0 Roma
27 Oct 19 Roma 2–1 AC Milan
03 Feb 19 Roma 1–1 AC Milan
31 Aug 18 AC Milan 2–1 Roma
16meetings
  • Roma win · 2 (12%)
  • Draw · 6 (38%)
  • AC Milan win · 8 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 88% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 10.06 League avg: 9.03
Avg. total cards 6.69 League avg: 3.77
Roma avg. goals 1.25 League avg: 1.25
AC Milan avg. goals 1.75 League avg: 1.25

Biggest win: Roma 3–1 AC Milan (18 May 25).

Roma vs AC Milan head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Roma have won 2 times, AC Milan have won 8 times and 6 ended in a draw. Roma scored 20 goals and AC Milan scored 28 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Jan 2026, ended 1-1 at Roma. Across these matches, both teams scored in 14 of 16 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. AC Milan kept 2.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Roma AC Milan
16 (2.3 avg) Goals 11 (1.8 avg)
127 (18.1 avg) Total Shots 75 (12.5 avg)
42 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 27 (4.5 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (3.3 avg)
36 (5.1 avg) Corners 19 (3.2 avg)
803 (114.7 avg) Attacks 570 (95.0 avg)
439 (62.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 268 (44.7 avg)
101 (14.4 avg) Key Passes 65 (10.8 avg)
3701 (528.7 avg) Passes 3486 (581.0 avg)
3139 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3105 (89%)
55% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Roma AC Milan
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
13 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (2.0 avg)
131 (18.7 avg) Tackles 91 (15.2 avg)
84 (12.0 avg) Fouls 62 (10.3 avg)
25 (3.6 avg) Offsides 7 (1.2 avg)
350 (50.0 avg) Duels Won 273 (45.5 avg)
96 (13.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 72 (12.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Roma

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

AC Milan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)