Vitoria Guimaraes vs Braga

Sun 07 Feb, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 21 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Vitoria Guimaraes win 35.9%
Draw 25.3%
Braga win · Most likely 38.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 69%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 45%Avg 52%
Vitoria Guimaraes clean sheet 28%Avg 31%
Braga clean sheet 29%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 70%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 58%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 72%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-111.9%
1-28.3%
0-26.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Braga

Did you know?

  • Vitoria Guimaraes have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes have underscored their xG by 0.50 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Braga's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

11meetings
  • Vitoria Guimaraes win · 3 (27%)
  • Draw · 4 (36%)
  • Braga win · 4 (36%)
Avg. total goals 2.18 League avg: 2.63
Over 2.5 goals 36% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 55% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 45% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 8.45 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 6.73 League avg: 4.95
Vitoria Guimaraes avg. goals 1.09 League avg: 1.32
Braga avg. goals 1.09 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Braga 0–2 Vitoria Guimaraes (15 Sep 24).

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Braga head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Vitoria Guimaraes have won 3 times, Braga have won 4 times and 4 ended in a draw. Vitoria Guimaraes scored 12 goals and Braga scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 31 Aug 2026, was won 1-0 by Braga, at home against Vitoria Guimaraes. Braga are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 11 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Vitoria Guimaraes kept 3 clean sheets and Braga kept 4.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Vitoria Guimaraes
  • Crosses and headers
  • Keeps the ball
  • Shoots on sight
Braga
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    54% 5th of 18 61% 2nd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 13th of 18 0.10 xG a shot 10th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    23% of xG 12th of 18 33% of xG 4th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    22% of shots 2nd of 18 19% of shots 10th of 18

Where they differ

  • Braga get more of their chances from set pieces than Vitoria Guimaraes, 33% against 23%.
  • Vitoria Guimaraes go more through the air than Braga, 22% of shots against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Vitoria Guimaraes Braga
10 (1.0 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
169 (16.9 avg) Total Shots 143 (14.3 avg)
43 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 42 (4.2 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Blocked Shots 40 (4.0 avg)
55 (5.5 avg) Corners 46 (4.6 avg)
N/A Attacks 755 (94.4 avg)
N/A Dangerous Attacks 430 (53.8 avg)
122 (12.2 avg) Key Passes 110 (11.0 avg)
4484 (448.4 avg) Passes 5663 (566.3 avg)
3690 (82%) Pass Accuracy 4871 (86%)
54% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Vitoria Guimaraes Braga
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
26 (2.6 avg) Yellow Cards 23 (2.3 avg)
177 (17.7 avg) Tackles 140 (14.0 avg)
162 (16.2 avg) Fouls 142 (14.2 avg)
11 (1.1 avg) Offsides 23 (2.3 avg)
499 (49.9 avg) Duels Won 468 (46.8 avg)
155 (15.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 151 (15.1 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Vitoria Guimaraes

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)

Braga

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)