Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano

Sun 30 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 38 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Athletic Bilbao win · Most likely 49.6%
Draw 27.1%
Rayo Vallecano win 23.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 47%Avg 50%
Athletic Bilbao clean sheet 36%Avg 30%
Rayo Vallecano clean sheet 21%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 88%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 74%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.6%
2-19.6%
2-09.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Athletic Bilbao
  • Rayo Vallecano

Did you know?

  • Athletic Bilbao have underscored their xG by 0.70 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Rayo Vallecano's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Rayo Vallecano have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Rayo Vallecano have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.

H2H

All 12 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
28 Feb 26 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Athletic Bilbao
25 Aug 25 Athletic Bilbao 1–0 Rayo Vallecano
13 Apr 25 Athletic Bilbao 3–1 Rayo Vallecano
01 Dec 24 Rayo Vallecano 1–2 Athletic Bilbao
25 May 24 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Athletic Bilbao
02 Dec 23 Athletic Bilbao 4–0 Rayo Vallecano
05 Mar 23 Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Athletic Bilbao
17 Sep 22 Athletic Bilbao 3–2 Rayo Vallecano
23 Jan 22 Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Athletic Bilbao
21 Sep 21 Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Rayo Vallecano
14 Apr 19 Athletic Bilbao 3–2 Rayo Vallecano
24 Oct 18 Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Athletic Bilbao
12meetings
  • Athletic Bilbao win · 8 (67%)
  • Draw · 3 (25%)
  • Rayo Vallecano win · 1 (8%)
Avg. total goals 2.58 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 58% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 42% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.58 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 4.08 League avg: 4.63
Athletic Bilbao avg. goals 1.75 League avg: 1.36
Rayo Vallecano avg. goals 0.83 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Athletic Bilbao 4–0 Rayo Vallecano (02 Dec 23).

Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano head to head: in the previous 12 meetings, Athletic Bilbao have won 8 times, Rayo Vallecano have won once and 3 ended in a draw. Athletic Bilbao scored 21 goals and Rayo Vallecano scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 28 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at Rayo Vallecano. Athletic Bilbao are unbeaten in the last 9 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 12 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Athletic Bilbao kept 5 clean sheets and Rayo Vallecano kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Athletic Bilbao Rayo Vallecano
7 (1.0 avg) Goals 11 (1.6 avg)
103 (14.7 avg) Total Shots 94 (13.4 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 32 (4.6 avg)
18 (2.6 avg) Blocked Shots 23 (3.3 avg)
43 (6.1 avg) Corners 37 (5.3 avg)
714 (102.0 avg) Attacks 570 (81.4 avg)
370 (52.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 272 (38.9 avg)
74 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 65 (9.3 avg)
3450 (492.9 avg) Passes 2671 (381.6 avg)
2929 (85%) Pass Accuracy 2153 (81%)
54% Ball Possession 49%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Athletic Bilbao Rayo Vallecano
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.3 avg)
15 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (2.4 avg)
112 (16.0 avg) Tackles 122 (17.4 avg)
79 (11.3 avg) Fouls 94 (13.4 avg)
8 (1.1 avg) Offsides 7 (1.0 avg)
330 (47.1 avg) Duels Won 334 (47.7 avg)
88 (12.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 76 (10.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Athletic Bilbao

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Rayo Vallecano

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 9 (90%)
  • No · 1 (10%)