Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid

Sun 06 Dec, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 15 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Athletic Bilbao win 33.4%
Draw 28.3%
Real Madrid win · Most likely 38.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 73%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 48%Avg 50%
Athletic Bilbao clean sheet 26%Avg 30%
Real Madrid clean sheet 28%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 80%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 70%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

0-19.8%
1-28.6%
0-26.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Athletic Bilbao
  • Real Madrid

Did you know?

  • Athletic Bilbao have underscored their xG by 0.70 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Real Madrid have lost to Athletic Bilbao just once in their last 16 meetings.
  • Athletic Bilbao have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Athletic Bilbao's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
23 May 26 Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Bilbao
03 Dec 25 Athletic Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid
20 Apr 25 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao
04 Dec 24 Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Real Madrid
31 Mar 24 Real Madrid 2–0 Athletic Bilbao
12 Aug 23 Athletic Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid
04 Jun 23 Real Madrid 1–1 Athletic Bilbao
22 Jan 23 Athletic Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid
22 Dec 21 Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Real Madrid
01 Dec 21 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao
16 May 21 Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Real Madrid
15 Dec 20 Real Madrid 3–1 Athletic Bilbao
05 Jul 20 Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Real Madrid
22 Dec 19 Real Madrid 0–0 Athletic Bilbao
21 Apr 19 Real Madrid 3–0 Athletic Bilbao
15 Sep 18 Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Real Madrid
16meetings
  • Athletic Bilbao win · 1 (6%)
  • Draw · 3 (19%)
  • Real Madrid win · 12 (75%)
Avg. total goals 2.25 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 38% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 38% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 4.44 League avg: 4.63
Athletic Bilbao avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.36
Real Madrid avg. goals 1.75 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Athletic Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid (03 Dec 25).

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Madrid head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Athletic Bilbao have won once, Real Madrid have won 12 times and 3 ended in a draw. Athletic Bilbao scored 8 goals and Real Madrid scored 28 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 23 May 2026, was won 4-2 by Real Madrid, at home against Athletic Bilbao. Real Madrid have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 16 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Athletic Bilbao kept 1 clean sheet and Real Madrid kept 10.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Athletic Bilbao Real Madrid
7 (1.0 avg) Goals 19 (2.4 avg)
103 (14.7 avg) Total Shots 143 (17.9 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 57 (7.1 avg)
18 (2.6 avg) Blocked Shots 36 (4.5 avg)
43 (6.1 avg) Corners 57 (7.1 avg)
714 (102.0 avg) Attacks 818 (102.2 avg)
370 (52.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 473 (59.1 avg)
74 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 123 (15.4 avg)
3450 (492.9 avg) Passes 4091 (511.4 avg)
2929 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3679 (90%)
54% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Athletic Bilbao Real Madrid
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
15 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (2.1 avg)
112 (16.0 avg) Tackles 124 (15.5 avg)
79 (11.3 avg) Fouls 67 (8.4 avg)
8 (1.1 avg) Offsides 16 (2.0 avg)
330 (47.1 avg) Duels Won 403 (50.4 avg)
88 (12.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 56 (7.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Athletic Bilbao

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Real Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)