Match summary
Real Madrid beat Athletic Bilbao 1-0, with the winner arriving in stoppage time. It was goalless at half-time.
Federico Valverde put Real Madrid ahead in stoppage time.
The chances backed that up: Real Madrid created 2.41 expected goals (xG) from 22 shots to Athletic Bilbao's 0.13 from 3.
Before kick-off
Real Madrid win
66%
Avg odds 1.43
Draw
21%
Avg odds 4.58
Athletic Bilbao win
13%
Avg odds 7.51
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.