Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Sun 14 Feb, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 24 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Real Madrid win · Most likely 61.7%
Draw 22.2%
Athletic Bilbao win 16.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 56%Avg 50%
Real Madrid clean sheet 38%Avg 30%
Athletic Bilbao clean sheet 14%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 83%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 74%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 62%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.4%
2-010.3%
2-110.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Real Madrid
  • Athletic Bilbao

Did you know?

  • Athletic Bilbao have underscored their xG by 0.84 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Real Madrid have lost to Athletic Bilbao just once in their last 16 meetings.
  • Real Madrid have won 9 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Real Madrid have won 8 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
23 May 26 Real Madrid 4–2 Athletic Bilbao
03 Dec 25 Athletic Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid
20 Apr 25 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao
04 Dec 24 Athletic Bilbao 2–1 Real Madrid
31 Mar 24 Real Madrid 2–0 Athletic Bilbao
12 Aug 23 Athletic Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid
04 Jun 23 Real Madrid 1–1 Athletic Bilbao
22 Jan 23 Athletic Bilbao 0–2 Real Madrid
22 Dec 21 Athletic Bilbao 1–2 Real Madrid
01 Dec 21 Real Madrid 1–0 Athletic Bilbao
16 May 21 Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Real Madrid
15 Dec 20 Real Madrid 3–1 Athletic Bilbao
05 Jul 20 Athletic Bilbao 0–1 Real Madrid
22 Dec 19 Real Madrid 0–0 Athletic Bilbao
21 Apr 19 Real Madrid 3–0 Athletic Bilbao
15 Sep 18 Athletic Bilbao 1–1 Real Madrid
16meetings
  • Real Madrid win · 12 (75%)
  • Draw · 3 (19%)
  • Athletic Bilbao win · 1 (6%)
Avg. total goals 2.25 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 38% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 38% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 4.44 League avg: 4.63
Real Madrid avg. goals 1.75 League avg: 1.36
Athletic Bilbao avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Athletic Bilbao 0–3 Real Madrid (03 Dec 25).

Real Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Real Madrid have won 12 times, Athletic Bilbao have won once and 3 ended in a draw. Real Madrid scored 28 goals and Athletic Bilbao scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 23 May 2026, was won 4-2 by Real Madrid, at home against Athletic Bilbao. Real Madrid have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 16 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Real Madrid kept 10 clean sheets and Athletic Bilbao kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Real Madrid Athletic Bilbao
19 (2.4 avg) Goals 7 (1.0 avg)
143 (17.9 avg) Total Shots 103 (14.7 avg)
57 (7.1 avg) Shots on Target 30 (4.3 avg)
36 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (2.6 avg)
57 (7.1 avg) Corners 43 (6.1 avg)
818 (102.2 avg) Attacks 714 (102.0 avg)
473 (59.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 370 (52.9 avg)
123 (15.4 avg) Key Passes 74 (10.6 avg)
4091 (511.4 avg) Passes 3450 (492.9 avg)
3679 (90%) Pass Accuracy 2929 (85%)
52% Ball Possession 54%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Real Madrid Athletic Bilbao
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
17 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (2.1 avg)
124 (15.5 avg) Tackles 112 (16.0 avg)
67 (8.4 avg) Fouls 79 (11.3 avg)
16 (2.0 avg) Offsides 8 (1.1 avg)
403 (50.4 avg) Duels Won 330 (47.1 avg)
56 (7.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 88 (12.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Real Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Athletic Bilbao

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)