Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Sun 23 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 37 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Atletico Madrid win · Most likely 55.2%
Draw 24.9%
Athletic Bilbao win 19.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 54%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 50%
Atletico Madrid clean sheet 36%Avg 30%
Athletic Bilbao clean sheet 17%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 79%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 69%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 62%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.9%
2-110.0%
2-09.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Atletico Madrid
  • Athletic Bilbao

Did you know?

  • Athletic Bilbao have underscored their xG by 0.70 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Atletico Madrid's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Athletic Bilbao have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Atletico Madrid's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

17meetings
  • Atletico Madrid win · 9 (53%)
  • Draw · 2 (12%)
  • Athletic Bilbao win · 6 (35%)
Avg. total goals 2.24 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 35% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 35% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 76% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.82 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 4.59 League avg: 4.63
Atletico Madrid avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.36
Athletic Bilbao avg. goals 1.12 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Athletic Bilbao 3–0 Atletico Madrid (05 Sep 26).

Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao head to head: in the previous 17 meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 9 times, Athletic Bilbao have won 6 times and 2 ended in a draw. Atletico Madrid scored 19 goals and Athletic Bilbao scored 19 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 5 Sep 2026, was won 3-0 by Athletic Bilbao, at home against Atletico Madrid. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 17 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Atletico Madrid kept 6 clean sheets and Athletic Bilbao kept 6.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Atletico Madrid Athletic Bilbao
19 (2.1 avg) Goals 7 (1.0 avg)
158 (17.6 avg) Total Shots 103 (14.7 avg)
58 (6.4 avg) Shots on Target 30 (4.3 avg)
48 (5.3 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (2.6 avg)
57 (6.3 avg) Corners 43 (6.1 avg)
1054 (117.1 avg) Attacks 714 (102.0 avg)
507 (56.3 avg) Dangerous Attacks 370 (52.9 avg)
127 (14.1 avg) Key Passes 74 (10.6 avg)
5321 (591.2 avg) Passes 3450 (492.9 avg)
4692 (88%) Pass Accuracy 2929 (85%)
60% Ball Possession 54%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Atletico Madrid Athletic Bilbao
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
20 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (2.1 avg)
150 (16.7 avg) Tackles 112 (16.0 avg)
110 (12.2 avg) Fouls 79 (11.3 avg)
18 (2.0 avg) Offsides 8 (1.1 avg)
427 (47.4 avg) Duels Won 330 (47.1 avg)
93 (10.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 88 (12.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Atletico Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Athletic Bilbao

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)