Braga vs Estrela Amadora

Sun 31 Jan, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Braga win · Most likely 62.5%
Draw 19.8%
Estrela Amadora win 17.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 51%Avg 50%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 54%Avg 52%
Braga clean sheet 39%Avg 31%
Estrela Amadora clean sheet 14%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 51%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 38%Avg 45%
Over 2.5 cards 87%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 72%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.4%
2-010.5%
2-110.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Braga
  • Estrela Amadora

Did you know?

  • Estrela Amadora have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Estrela Amadora's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Estrela Amadora have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Estrela Amadora have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 Sep 26 Estrela Amadora 2–1 Braga
16 May 26 Braga 2–2 Estrela Amadora
03 Jan 26 Estrela Amadora 3–3 Braga
19 Jan 25 Estrela Amadora 0–1 Braga
11 Aug 24 Braga 1–1 Estrela Amadora
02 Mar 24 Braga 3–0 Estrela Amadora
28 Sep 23 Estrela Amadora 2–4 Braga
7meetings
  • Braga win · 3 (43%)
  • Draw · 3 (43%)
  • Estrela Amadora win · 1 (14%)
Avg. total goals 3.57 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 71% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 71% League avg: 50%
Whoever hosts wins 29% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 12.00 League avg: 9.28
Avg. total cards 4.57 League avg: 4.93
Braga avg. goals 2.14 League avg: 1.32
Estrela Amadora avg. goals 1.43 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Braga 3–0 Estrela Amadora (02 Mar 24).

Braga vs Estrela Amadora head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Braga have won 3 times, Estrela Amadora have won once and 3 ended in a draw. Braga scored 15 goals and Estrela Amadora scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 Sep 2026, was won 2-1 by Estrela Amadora, at home against Braga. Estrela Amadora are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 7 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Braga kept 2 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Braga
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
Estrela Amadora
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    60% 2nd of 18 47% 13th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 9th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 5th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    33% of xG 4th of 18 22% of xG 14th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 9th of 18 21% of shots 3rd of 18

Where they differ

  • Braga see much more of the ball than Estrela Amadora, 60% against 47%.
  • Braga get more of their chances from set pieces than Estrela Amadora, 33% against 22%.
  • Estrela Amadora go more through the air than Braga, 21% of shots against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Braga Estrela Amadora
11 (1.1 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Total Shots 130 (13.0 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Shots on Target 39 (3.9 avg)
39 (3.9 avg) Blocked Shots 33 (3.3 avg)
52 (5.2 avg) Corners 40 (4.0 avg)
748 (93.5 avg) Attacks 839 (83.9 avg)
430 (53.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 438 (43.8 avg)
111 (11.1 avg) Key Passes 96 (9.6 avg)
5431 (543.1 avg) Passes 4180 (418.0 avg)
4647 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3487 (83%)
58% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Braga Estrela Amadora
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
22 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
134 (13.4 avg) Tackles 166 (16.6 avg)
144 (14.4 avg) Fouls 116 (11.6 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 10 (1.4 avg)
457 (45.7 avg) Duels Won 461 (46.1 avg)
148 (14.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 118 (11.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Braga

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Estrela Amadora

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)