Braga vs Nacional

Sun 14 Mar, 11:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Braga win · Most likely 65.3%
Draw 19.3%
Nacional win 15.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 50%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 77%Avg 74%
Over 2.5 goals 54%Avg 52%
Braga clean sheet 42%Avg 31%
Nacional clean sheet 13%Avg 26%
Over 8.5 corners 56%Avg 56%
Over 9.5 corners 43%Avg 44%
Over 2.5 cards 84%Avg 85%
Over 3.5 cards 67%Avg 72%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.5%
2-011.2%
2-110.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Braga
  • Nacional

Did you know?

  • Nacional have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Nacional have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Nacional have picked up just 1.4 cards per game over their last 10, well below the league average of 2.6.
  • Braga's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
25 Oct 26 Nacional 1–0 Braga
28 Feb 26 Nacional 1–2 Braga
28 Sep 25 Braga 0–1 Nacional
21 Feb 25 Braga 1–0 Nacional
20 Sep 24 Nacional 0–3 Braga
5meetings
  • Braga win · 3 (60%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Nacional win · 2 (40%)
Avg. total goals 1.80 League avg: 2.64
Over 2.5 goals 40% League avg: 52%
Both teams to score 20% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 40% League avg: 41%
Avg. total corners 10.60 League avg: 9.24
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 4.95
Braga avg. goals 1.20 League avg: 1.32
Nacional avg. goals 0.60 League avg: 1.32

Biggest win: Nacional 0–3 Braga (20 Sep 24).

Braga vs Nacional head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Braga have won 3 times, Nacional have won 2 times and none ended in a draw. Braga scored 6 goals and Nacional scored 3 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 25 Oct 2026, was won 1-0 by Nacional, at home against Braga. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 5 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Braga kept 2 clean sheets and Nacional kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Braga
  • Keeps the ball
  • Set piece heavy
Nacional
  • Crosses and headers
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    61% 2nd of 18 48% 10th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.10 xG a shot 11th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    33% of xG 4th of 18 29% of xG 7th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    19% of shots 9th of 18 23% of shots 2nd of 18

Where they differ

  • Braga see much more of the ball than Nacional, 61% against 48%.
  • Nacional go more through the air than Braga, 23% of shots against 19%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Braga Nacional
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
143 (14.3 avg) Total Shots 100 (10.0 avg)
42 (4.2 avg) Shots on Target 30 (3.0 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 23 (2.3 avg)
46 (4.6 avg) Corners 41 (4.1 avg)
755 (94.4 avg) Attacks 682 (75.8 avg)
430 (53.8 avg) Dangerous Attacks 314 (34.9 avg)
110 (11.0 avg) Key Passes 78 (7.8 avg)
5663 (566.3 avg) Passes 3818 (381.8 avg)
4871 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3080 (81%)
60% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Braga Nacional
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
140 (14.0 avg) Tackles 170 (17.0 avg)
142 (14.2 avg) Fouls 117 (11.7 avg)
23 (2.3 avg) Offsides 12 (1.2 avg)
468 (46.8 avg) Duels Won 491 (49.1 avg)
151 (15.1 avg) Aerial Duels Won 154 (15.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Braga

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Nacional

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)