Mainz vs Schalke 04

Sat 27 Feb, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mainz win · Most likely 62.9%
Draw 20.7%
Schalke 04 win 16.4%

Limited history for Schalke 04. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 64%Avg 62%
Mainz clean sheet 33%Avg 26%
Schalke 04 clean sheet 11%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 70%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 49%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.9%
2-08.8%
1-08.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mainz
  • Schalke 04

Did you know?

  • Schalke 04 have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Mainz have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Mainz's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Mainz have scored in 5 consecutive matches.

H2H

All 9 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Oct 26 Schalke 04 0–1 Mainz
05 May 23 Mainz 2–3 Schalke 04
09 Nov 22 Schalke 04 1–0 Mainz
05 Mar 21 Schalke 04 0–0 Mainz
07 Nov 20 Mainz 2–2 Schalke 04
16 Feb 20 Mainz 0–0 Schalke 04
20 Sep 19 Schalke 04 2–1 Mainz
23 Feb 19 Mainz 3–0 Schalke 04
29 Sep 18 Schalke 04 1–0 Mainz
9meetings
  • Mainz win · 2 (22%)
  • Draw · 3 (33%)
  • Schalke 04 win · 4 (44%)
Avg. total goals 2.00 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 44% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 9.12 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 3.88 League avg: 3.82
Mainz avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.60
Schalke 04 avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Mainz 3–0 Schalke 04 (23 Feb 19).

Mainz vs Schalke 04 head to head: in the previous 9 meetings, Mainz have won 2 times, Schalke 04 have won 4 times and 3 ended in a draw. Mainz scored 9 goals and Schalke 04 scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Oct 2026, was won 1-0 by Mainz, away at Schalke 04. Across these matches, both teams scored in 3 of 9 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Mainz kept 4 clean sheets and Schalke 04 kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mainz Schalke 04
14 (2.3 avg) Goals 4 (0.7 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 61 (10.2 avg)
36 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 21 (3.5 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (3.0 avg)
29 (4.8 avg) Corners 18 (3.0 avg)
628 (104.7 avg) Attacks 572 (95.3 avg)
318 (53.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 225 (37.5 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 46 (7.7 avg)
2676 (446.0 avg) Passes 2089 (348.2 avg)
2139 (80%) Pass Accuracy 1451 (69%)
51% Ball Possession 40%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mainz Schalke 04
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 5 (0.8 avg)
102 (17.0 avg) Tackles 134 (22.3 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Fouls 56 (9.3 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 15 (2.5 avg)
315 (52.5 avg) Duels Won 360 (60.0 avg)
124 (20.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 138 (23.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Schalke 04

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)