Modena vs Ascoli

Sat 13 Mar, 16:00 UTC · Matchweek 30 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Modena win · Most likely 50.1%
Draw 29.4%
Ascoli win 20.5%

Limited history for Ascoli. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 49%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 71%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 44%Avg 48%
Modena clean sheet 40%Avg 31%
Ascoli clean sheet 22%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 60%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 47%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 80%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 62%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.9%
2-09.9%
2-19.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Modena
  • Ascoli

Did you know?

  • Modena's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Modena have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Ascoli are unbeaten in their last 7 matches.
  • Ascoli's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
20 Apr 24 Ascoli 0–0 Modena
26 Aug 23 Modena 1–0 Ascoli
01 Mar 23 Modena 0–1 Ascoli
08 Oct 22 Ascoli 1–2 Modena
4meetings
  • Modena win · 2 (50%)
  • Draw · 1 (25%)
  • Ascoli win · 1 (25%)
Avg. total goals 1.25 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 25% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 25% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 25% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.00 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 4.25 League avg: 4.50
Modena avg. goals 0.75 League avg: 1.28
Ascoli avg. goals 0.50 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Modena 1–0 Ascoli (26 Aug 23).

Modena vs Ascoli head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Modena have won 2 times, Ascoli have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Modena scored 3 goals and Ascoli scored 2 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 20 Apr 2024, ended 0-0 at Ascoli. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 4 and 1 had over 2.5 goals. Modena kept 2 clean sheets and Ascoli kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Modena
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Ascoli
  • Keeps the ball
  • Crosses and headers
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 20 63% 1st of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 19th of 20 0.11 xG a shot 2nd of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 10th of 20 30% of xG 6th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 16th of 20 24% of shots 1st of 20

Where they differ

  • Ascoli wait for better chances than Modena, 0.11 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Ascoli go more through the air than Modena, 24% of shots against 15%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Modena Ascoli
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 15 (1.5 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Total Shots 137 (13.7 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 45 (4.5 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Blocked Shots 32 (3.2 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 67 (6.7 avg)
414 (82.8 avg) Attacks 564 (94.0 avg)
226 (45.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 293 (48.8 avg)
132 (13.2 avg) Key Passes 114 (11.4 avg)
4868 (486.8 avg) Passes 5126 (512.6 avg)
4219 (87%) Pass Accuracy 4512 (88%)
57% Ball Possession 63%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Modena Ascoli
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 18 (1.8 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 135 (13.5 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 99 (9.9 avg)
26 (2.9 avg) Offsides 18 (2.0 avg)
482 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 467 (46.7 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 102 (10.2 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Modena

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Ascoli

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)