Modena vs Cremonese

Sat 01 May, 15:00 UTC · Matchweek 36 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Modena win · Most likely 51.2%
Draw 29.4%
Cremonese win 19.4%

Limited history for Cremonese. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 43%Avg 48%
Modena clean sheet 41%Avg 31%
Cremonese clean sheet 22%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 54%Avg 57%
Over 9.5 corners 41%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 84%
Over 3.5 cards 67%Avg 70%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.5%
2-010.3%
2-19.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Modena
  • Cremonese

Did you know?

  • Modena's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Modena have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 meetings.
  • Cremonese beat Modena 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 5 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
28 Aug 26 Cremonese 0–3 Modena
26 Jan 25 Cremonese 2–2 Modena
29 Oct 24 Modena 2–2 Cremonese
03 Mar 24 Modena 0–1 Cremonese
23 Dec 23 Cremonese 4–0 Modena
5meetings
  • Modena win · 1 (20%)
  • Draw · 2 (40%)
  • Cremonese win · 2 (40%)
Avg. total goals 3.20 League avg: 2.56
Over 2.5 goals 80% League avg: 48%
Both teams to score 40% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 20% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.00 League avg: 9.49
Avg. total cards 4.20 League avg: 4.50
Modena avg. goals 1.40 League avg: 1.28
Cremonese avg. goals 1.80 League avg: 1.28

Biggest win: Cremonese 4–0 Modena (23 Dec 23).

Modena vs Cremonese head to head: in the previous 5 meetings, Modena have won once, Cremonese have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. Modena scored 7 goals and Cremonese scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 28 Aug 2026, was won 3-0 by Modena, away at Cremonese. Modena are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 5 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. Modena kept 1 clean sheet and Cremonese kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 20 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Modena
  • Shoots on sight
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
Cremonese
  • Open play side
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    53% 4th of 20 50% 10th of 20
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.09 xG a shot 19th of 20 0.10 xG a shot 7th of 20
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    24% of xG 10th of 20 13% of xG 20th of 20
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    15% of shots 16th of 20 18% of shots 10th of 20

Where they differ

  • Cremonese wait for better chances than Modena, 0.10 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Modena get more of their chances from set pieces than Cremonese, 24% against 13%.
  • Modena see much more of the ball than Cremonese, 53% against 50%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Modena Cremonese
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 10 (1.0 avg)
182 (18.2 avg) Total Shots 114 (11.4 avg)
53 (5.3 avg) Shots on Target 40 (4.0 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Blocked Shots 32 (3.2 avg)
51 (5.1 avg) Corners 37 (3.7 avg)
414 (82.8 avg) Attacks 390 (78.0 avg)
226 (45.2 avg) Dangerous Attacks 192 (38.4 avg)
132 (13.2 avg) Key Passes 91 (9.1 avg)
4868 (486.8 avg) Passes 4662 (466.2 avg)
4219 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3911 (84%)
57% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Modena Cremonese
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
17 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.0 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 151 (15.1 avg)
117 (11.7 avg) Fouls 105 (10.5 avg)
26 (2.9 avg) Offsides 14 (1.4 avg)
482 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 430 (43.0 avg)
135 (13.5 avg) Aerial Duels Won 119 (11.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Modena

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Cremonese

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)