Monza
vs
AC Milan
Sat 02 Jan, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for Monza. Fewer past top flight matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Monza
- AC Milan
Did you know?
- Monza's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
- AC Milan have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
- Monza have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
- AC Milan's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
H2H
All 6 meetings on file.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 25 | AC Milan |
2–0 | Monza |
| 02 Nov 24 | Monza |
0–1 | AC Milan |
| 18 Feb 24 | Monza |
4–2 | AC Milan |
| 17 Dec 23 | AC Milan |
3–0 | Monza |
| 18 Feb 23 | Monza |
0–1 | AC Milan |
| 22 Oct 22 | AC Milan |
4–1 | Monza |
- Monza win · 1 (17%)
- Draw · 0 (0%)
- AC Milan win · 5 (83%)
Biggest win: AC Milan 3–0 Monza (17 Dec 23).
Monza vs AC Milan head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Monza have won once, AC Milan have won 5 times and none ended in a draw. Monza scored 5 goals and AC Milan scored 13 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 24 May 2025, was won 2-0 by AC Milan, at home against Monza. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 6 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. AC Milan kept 4.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
Monza
AC Milan
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
Monza
AC Milan
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 10 (100%)
- Yes · 8 (80%)
- No · 2 (20%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 1 (10%)
- No · 9 (90%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
Monza
Previous 10 Matches
LWLLLLDLWLPrevious 10 Matches
LDLDLLLLLWPrevious 10 Matches
LLLLWLLDLLForm & stats (Last 10)
16th in the league · 4 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLLLLDLWL | 0.70 |
| Home | LDLDLLLLLW | 0.50 |
| Away | LLLLWLLDLL | 0.40 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.59 | 2.51 | 2.67 |
| Scored/game | 1.03 | 1.10 | 0.97 |
| Conceded/game | 1.56 | 1.41 | 1.70 |
| Both teams scored | 52% | 56% | 48% |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 27% | 39% |
| xG/game | 1.11 | 1.17 | 1.06 |
| xG against/game | 1.62 | 1.51 | 1.72 |
| npxG/game | 1.02 | 1.04 | 1.00 |
| Deep completions/game | 4.5 | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 14.4 | 14.0 | 14.8 |
| Led at half-time | 22% | 22% | 21% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 2% | 0% | 4% |
AC Milan
Previous 10 Matches
LLWLWWDDWDPrevious 10 Matches
DLWWLDLLWWPrevious 10 Matches
WLLWLWWDDDForm & stats (Last 10)
6th in the league · 12 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLWWDDWD | 1.50 |
| Home | DLWWLDLLWW | 1.40 |
| Away | WLLWLWWDDD | 1.50 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 55% | 56% | 54% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.76 | 2.64 | 2.87 |
| Scored/game | 1.70 | 1.69 | 1.71 |
| Conceded/game | 1.06 | 0.95 | 1.17 |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 36% | 42% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 15% | 16% | 14% |
| xG/game | 1.77 | 1.85 | 1.69 |
| xG against/game | 1.16 | 1.08 | 1.24 |
| npxG/game | 1.59 | 1.68 | 1.50 |
| Deep completions/game | 7.6 | 8.3 | 7.0 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 11.6 | 11.1 | 12.2 |
| Led at half-time | 40% | 41% | 38% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 16% | 17% | 16% |
League standings
Monza are 16th with 4 points. AC Milan are 6th with 12 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter |
7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | Roma |
7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | +13 | 17 |
| 3 | Lazio |
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Frosinone |
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 13 |
| 5 | Cagliari |
6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | AC Milan |
6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +6 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Como |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Atalanta |
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 9 |
| 11 | Sassuolo |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Torino |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Lecce |
6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 6 |
| 14 | Bologna |
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Udinese |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Monza |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Parma |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina |
6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Genoa |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 3 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Monza yet.
Out / doubtful
- Jan Ziolkowski Injured · Heel Spur (6 games missed)
- Matteo Pessina Injured · Knee Injury (10 games missed)
- Patrick Ciurria Injured · Unknown Injury (10 games missed)
- Lorenzo Lucchesi Unavailable · Red Card Suspension (0 games missed)
No expected XI available for AC Milan yet.
Out / doubtful
- Alexis Saelemaekers Injured · Ankle Surgery (2 games missed)
- Matteo Gabbia Injured · Hamstring Strain (1 games missed)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
Monza
- Gustavo Varela 020 4 5
- Ricardo Mangas 100 1 6
- Andrea Colpani 0–– 1 4
AC Milan
- Adrien Rabiot 011 3 6
- Diego Moreira 210 3 4
- Alphadjo Cissè 0–0 2 3
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Monza
- Gustavo Varela 120 5 5
- Dany Mota –04 5 4
- Samuele Birindelli 110 4 6
AC Milan
- Gonçalo Ramos 002 6 6
- Samuel Chukwueze 111 4 6
- Diego Moreira 211 4 4
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Monza
- Gustavo Varela 231 12 5
- Samuele Birindelli 124 10 6
- Dany Mota –05 9 4
AC Milan
- Gonçalo Ramos 104 18 6
- Samuel Chukwueze 301 7 6
- Diego Moreira 412 7 4
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Monza
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 001 2Y 1R 6
- Eddy Kouadio 010 2Y 6
- Michael Folorunsho 010 2Y 5
AC Milan
- Strahinja Pavlović 101 3Y 6
- Pervis Estupiñán 001 2Y 6
- Koni De Winter 001 2Y 6
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Monza
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 212 11 6
- Ebenezer Akinsanmiro 310 9 5
- Eddy Kouadio 222 8 6
AC Milan
- Koni De Winter 313 11 6
- Gonçalo Ramos 102 9 6
- Pervis Estupiñán 011 6 6
Most tackles
Tackles made
Monza
- Eddy Kouadio 714 15 6
- Andrea Carboni 241 9 6
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 320 8 6
AC Milan
- Strahinja Pavlović 113 16 6
- Koni De Winter 113 12 6
- Mario Gila 312 10 6
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Monza
- Eddy Kouadio 224 19 6
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 401 14 6
- Ricardo Mangas 001 5 6
AC Milan
- Pervis Estupiñán 021 7 6
- Mario Gila 113 7 6
- Luka Modrić 130 7 6
Duels won
Challenges won
Monza
- Andrea Carboni 851 26 6
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 761 23 6
- Eddy Kouadio 934 21 6
AC Milan
- Strahinja Pavlović 456 40 6
- Gonçalo Ramos 414 29 6
- Mario Gila 566 28 6
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Monza
- Lorenzo Lucchesi 001 6 6
- Eddy Kouadio 031 5 6
- Andrea Carboni 010 3 6
AC Milan
- Koni De Winter 001 3 6
- Adrien Rabiot 001 2 6
- Strahinja Pavlović 010 2 6
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Monza
- Samuele Birindelli 323 11 6
- Ricardo Mangas 112 10 6
- Gustavo Varela 330 6 5
AC Milan
- Samuel Chukwueze 201 11 6
- Ruben Loftus-Cheek 20– 8 5
- Christian Pulisic 421 7 3
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
Monza
Over 1.5 Goals in the Match
100.0%
-
2
AC Milan
To Score
90.0%
-
3
Monza
Team Over 1.5 Offsides
83.3%
-
4
AC Milan
Over 3.5 Cards in the Match
80.0%
-
5
AC Milan
2nd Half Over 1.5 Goals
80.0%
-
1
LL
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Over 0.5 Fouls Committed
100.0%
-
2
AS
Alexis Saelemaekers
Over 1.5 Tackles
80.0%
-
3
MM
Mike Maignan
Over 1.5 Saves
80.0%
-
4
SB
Samuele Birindelli
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
66.7%
-
5
GR
Gonçalo Ramos
Over 1.5 Shots
50.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
4 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Lazio
Sassuolo
Lecce
Parma
Udinese
Inter
Atalanta
Napoli
Como
Torino
Verona
Juventus
Venezia
Cagliari
Genoa
Cremonese
Roma
Frosinone
Bologna
Fiorentina