AC Milan
vs
Ararat-Armenia
Thu 28 Jan, 20:00 UTC · Matchday 8 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Limited history for Ararat-Armenia. Fewer past Europa League matches on record means these figures are less reliable than usual.
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- AC Milan
- Ararat-Armenia
Did you know?
- AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
- AC Milan's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
- AC Milan's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
- Ararat-Armenia have lost their last 4 matches in a row.
H2H
These two have not met in the Europa League in the stored history, which goes back to 2024/25.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
AC Milan
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
AC Milan
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 5 (56%)
- Over · 4 (44%)
- Under · 3 (30%)
- Over · 7 (70%)
- Under · 6 (67%)
- Over · 3 (33%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 7 (78%)
- Over · 2 (22%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 4 (100%)
- Under · 1 (25%)
- Over · 3 (75%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 4 (100%)
- Under · 1 (25%)
- Over · 3 (75%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 4 (100%)
- Under · 1 (25%)
- Over · 3 (75%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 4 (100%)
- Yes · 3 (75%)
- No · 1 (25%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 2 (100%)
- Under · 1 (50%)
- Over · 1 (50%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 2 (100%)
- Under · 1 (50%)
- Over · 1 (50%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 2 (100%)
- Under · 1 (50%)
- Over · 1 (50%)
- Yes · 0 (0%)
- No · 2 (100%)
- Yes · 2 (100%)
- No · 0 (0%)
AC Milan
Previous 10 Matches
WDWWLWLWLW-
05 Nov 26 H AC Milan vs
Ferencvaros 0–2 L
-
22 Oct 26 A AC Milan vs
Bournemouth
0–3
L
-
15 Oct 26 A AC Milan vs
Red Bull Salzburg 4–0 W
Previous 10 Matches
LWWDDDWLWW-
22 Oct 26 A AC Milan vs
Bournemouth
0–3
L
-
15 Oct 26 A AC Milan vs
Red Bull Salzburg 4–0 W
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
28th in the league phase · 3 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall* | WDWWLWLWLW | 1.90 |
| Home* | DLLWLWWLWL | 1.30 |
| Away* | LWWDDDWLWW | 1.80 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 55% | 55% | 55% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.78 | 2.68 | 2.87 |
| Scored/game | 1.69 | 1.68 | 1.70 |
| Conceded/game | 1.09 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 51% | 59% |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 16% | 16% | 15% |
| xG/game | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.69 |
| xG against/game | 1.18 | 1.11 | 1.25 |
| npxG/game | 1.59 | 1.65 | 1.52 |
| Deep completions/game | 7.6 | 8.2 | 7.0 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 11.7 | 11.2 | 12.2 |
| Led at half-time | 41% | 43% | 38% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 15% | 15% | 15% |
Ararat-Armenia
Previous 4 Matches
LLLL-
05 Nov 26 A Ararat-Armenia vs
Torreense 2–3 L
-
22 Oct 26 H Ararat-Armenia vs
AZ Alkmaar 0–4 L
-
15 Oct 26 A Ararat-Armenia vs
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1–3 L
-
16 Sep 26 H Ararat-Armenia vs
Sparta Prague 1–4 L
Previous 2 Matches
LL-
22 Oct 26 H Ararat-Armenia vs
AZ Alkmaar 0–4 L
-
16 Sep 26 H Ararat-Armenia vs
Sparta Prague 1–4 L
Previous 2 Matches
LL-
05 Nov 26 A Ararat-Armenia vs
Torreense 2–3 L
-
15 Oct 26 A Ararat-Armenia vs
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1–3 L
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 4)
36th in the league phase · 0 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall* | LLLL | 0.00 |
| Home* | LL | 0.00 |
| Away* | LL | 0.00 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 4.50 | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| Scored/game | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Conceded/game | 3.50 | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 50% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 25% | 50% | 0% |
| xG/game | 1.20 | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| xG against/game | 1.78 | 1.96 | 1.60 |
| npxG/game | 1.20 | 1.14 | 1.27 |
| Led at half-time | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 0% | 0% | 0% |
League standings
AC Milan are 28th with 3 points. Ararat-Armenia are 36th with 0 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 | |
| 2 | Bournemouth |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 | |
| 5 | Juventus |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 | |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 | |
| 11 | Sunderland |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | |
| 13 | Lyon |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 | |
| 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 17 | Rennes |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 | |
| 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | |
| 20 | Real Sociedad |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 4 | |
| 23 | Hoffenheim |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 4 |
| 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 | |
| 27 | Celta Vigo |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | |
| 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | |
| 31 | Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | |
| 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 | |
| 34 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 | |
| 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 | |
| 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for AC Milan yet.
Out / doubtful
- Alexis Saelemaekers Injured · Ankle injury (back 2027-01-20)
- Fikayo Tomori Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-20)
- Matteo Gabbia Injured · Tendon injury (back 2027-01-10)
- Ruben Loftus-Cheek Injured · Thigh injury (back 2026-11-30)
- Samuel Chukwueze Injured · Thigh injury (back 2027-01-20)
- Strahinja Pavlović Injured · Knee injury (back 2026-11-18)
- Pietro Terracciano Doubtful · Physical discomfort (back 2026-11-10)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
AC Milan
- Adrien Rabiot 000 5 9
- Alphadjo Cissè ––0 5 5
- Christian Pulisic 0–0 4 8
Ararat-Armenia
- B. Wilson 001 2 4
- Z. Banjaqui 1–0 1 2
- K. Muradyan 001 1 2
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
AC Milan
- Gonçalo Ramos 1–0 10 11
- Alphadjo Cissè ––0 8 5
- Christian Pulisic 0–0 7 8
Ararat-Armenia
- A. Serobyan 121 4 4
- Z. Shaghoyan 120 3 2
- B. Wilson 001 2 4
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
AC Milan
- Gonçalo Ramos 2–2 26 11
- Alphadjo Cissè ––1 13 5
- Adrien Rabiot 200 12 9
Ararat-Armenia
- A. Serobyan 534 13 4
- Z. Banjaqui 2–2 7 2
- S. Lima 102 5 4
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
AC Milan
- Koni De Winter 011 3Y 11
- Strahinja Pavlović 00– 3Y 10
- Mario Gila ––0 2Y 9
Ararat-Armenia
- B. Wilson 111 3Y 4
- K. Muradyan 001 2Y 2
- J. Victor 001 0Y 1R 4
Most fouls
Fouls committed
AC Milan
- Gonçalo Ramos 0–1 22 11
- Koni De Winter 221 16 11
- Mario Gila ––0 10 9
Ararat-Armenia
- B. Wilson 111 5 4
- A. Malis –03 5 3
- E. Grigoryan 101 4 4
Most tackles
Tackles made
AC Milan
- Strahinja Pavlović 31– 24 10
- Mario Gila ––0 20 9
- Koni De Winter 241 17 11
Ararat-Armenia
- M. Carlier 260 8 2
- A. Malis –31 7 3
- Z. Shaghoyan 322 7 2
Interceptions
Passes cut out
AC Milan
- Koni De Winter 213 17 11
- Luka Modrić 1–0 15 11
- Mario Gila ––0 10 9
Ararat-Armenia
- H. Oliveira 342 10 4
- A. Serobyan 231 8 4
- M. Carlier 430 7 2
Duels won
Challenges won
AC Milan
- Strahinja Pavlović 610– 66 10
- Gonçalo Ramos 1–6 55 11
- Koni De Winter 484 47 11
Ararat-Armenia
- A. Serobyan 625 22 4
- H. Oliveira 356 18 4
- B. Wilson 446 16 4
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
AC Milan
- Koni De Winter 201 5 11
- Adrien Rabiot 010 4 9
- Strahinja Pavlović 10– 3 10
Ararat-Armenia
- B. Wilson 101 4 4
- H. Oliveira 100 3 4
- A. Malis –00 2 3
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
AC Milan
- Christian Pulisic 1–2 12 8
- Samuel Chukwueze ––– 12 7
- Luka Modrić 1–1 11 11
Ararat-Armenia
- Z. Shaghoyan 414 9 2
- A. Serobyan 003 8 4
- J. Balanta 112 4 3
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
AC Milan
Over 1.5 Goals in the Match
100.0%
-
2
Ararat-Armenia First Goal Before 30 Minutes 100.0%
-
3
Ararat-Armenia Over 8.5 Shots on Target in the Match 100.0%
-
4
Ararat-Armenia Concede 2+ Goals 100.0%
-
5
Ararat-Armenia 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals 100.0%
-
1
MM
Mike Maignan
Over 1.5 Saves
100.0%
-
2
KW
Koni De Winter
Over 0.5 Fouls Committed
90.0%
-
3
AC
Alphadjo Cissè
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
70.0%
-
4
AR
Adrien Rabiot
To Score or Assist
70.0%
-
5
GR
Gonçalo Ramos
Over 1.5 Shots
60.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
4 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Genoa
Inter
Bologna
Udinese
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Lecce
Cagliari
Juventus
Lazio
Torino
Bayer Leverkusen
Sunderland
Lyon
Rennes
Real Sociedad
Crystal Palace
Hoffenheim
Celta Vigo
Marseille