AC Milan vs Como

Sat 19 Dec, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AC Milan win · Most likely 39.9%
Draw 27.3%
Como win 32.8%

Event markets

Both teams to score 53%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 72%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 47%Avg 47%
AC Milan clean sheet 29%Avg 30%
Como clean sheet 25%Avg 29%
Over 8.5 corners 58%Avg 54%
Over 9.5 corners 45%Avg 43%
Over 2.5 cards 71%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 50%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.6%
2-18.7%
2-06.8%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AC Milan
  • Como

Did you know?

  • AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • AC Milan have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • AC Milan have not lost to Como in their last 4 meetings.
  • Como have underscored their xG by 0.67 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Feb 26 AC Milan 1–1 Como
15 Jan 26 Como 1–3 AC Milan
15 Mar 25 AC Milan 2–1 Como
14 Jan 25 Como 1–2 AC Milan
4meetings
  • AC Milan win · 3 (75%)
  • Draw · 1 (25%)
  • Como win · 0 (0%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals 75% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 25% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 7.75 League avg: 9.03
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 3.77
AC Milan avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.25
Como avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.25

Biggest win: Como 1–3 AC Milan (15 Jan 26).

AC Milan vs Como head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, AC Milan have won 3 times, Como have not won and 1 ended in a draw. AC Milan scored 8 goals and Como scored 4 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at AC Milan. AC Milan are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 4 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AC Milan Como
11 (1.8 avg) Goals 9 (1.5 avg)
75 (12.5 avg) Total Shots 136 (22.7 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Shots on Target 40 (6.7 avg)
20 (3.3 avg) Blocked Shots 42 (7.0 avg)
19 (3.2 avg) Corners 46 (7.7 avg)
570 (95.0 avg) Attacks 667 (111.2 avg)
268 (44.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 393 (65.5 avg)
65 (10.8 avg) Key Passes 101 (16.8 avg)
3486 (581.0 avg) Passes 3627 (604.5 avg)
3105 (89%) Pass Accuracy 3258 (90%)
60% Ball Possession 62%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AC Milan Como
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 6 (1.0 avg)
91 (15.2 avg) Tackles 104 (17.3 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Fouls 48 (8.0 avg)
7 (1.2 avg) Offsides 8 (1.3 avg)
273 (45.5 avg) Duels Won 289 (48.2 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 64 (10.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AC Milan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Como

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)