AC Milan vs Fiorentina

Tue 05 Jan, 19:45 UTC · Matchweek 18 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AC Milan win · Most likely 53.5%
Draw 24.9%
Fiorentina win 21.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 74%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 49%Avg 47%
AC Milan clean sheet 37%Avg 30%
Fiorentina clean sheet 19%Avg 29%
Over 8.5 corners 45%Avg 54%
Over 9.5 corners 32%Avg 43%
Over 2.5 cards 76%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 56%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.9%
2-19.9%
2-09.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AC Milan
  • Fiorentina

Did you know?

  • AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • AC Milan have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • AC Milan's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 9 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
  • Fiorentina have conceded in each of their last 7 matches.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
11 Jan 26 Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan
19 Oct 25 AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina
05 Apr 25 AC Milan 2–2 Fiorentina
06 Oct 24 Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan
30 Mar 24 Fiorentina 1–2 AC Milan
25 Nov 23 AC Milan 1–0 Fiorentina
04 Mar 23 Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan
13 Nov 22 AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina
01 May 22 AC Milan 1–0 Fiorentina
20 Nov 21 Fiorentina 4–3 AC Milan
21 Mar 21 Fiorentina 2–3 AC Milan
29 Nov 20 AC Milan 2–0 Fiorentina
22 Feb 20 Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan
29 Sep 19 AC Milan 1–3 Fiorentina
11 May 19 Fiorentina 0–1 AC Milan
22 Dec 18 AC Milan 0–1 Fiorentina
16meetings
  • AC Milan win · 8 (50%)
  • Draw · 3 (19%)
  • Fiorentina win · 5 (31%)
Avg. total goals 2.81 League avg: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals 56% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 69% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 10.81 League avg: 9.03
Avg. total cards 5.06 League avg: 3.77
AC Milan avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.25
Fiorentina avg. goals 1.31 League avg: 1.25

Biggest win: AC Milan 2–0 Fiorentina (29 Nov 20).

AC Milan vs Fiorentina head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, AC Milan have won 8 times, Fiorentina have won 5 times and 3 ended in a draw. AC Milan scored 24 goals and Fiorentina scored 21 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 11 Jan 2026, ended 1-1 at Fiorentina. AC Milan are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 16 and 9 had over 2.5 goals. AC Milan kept 4 clean sheets and Fiorentina kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AC Milan Fiorentina
11 (1.8 avg) Goals 7 (1.2 avg)
75 (12.5 avg) Total Shots 97 (16.2 avg)
27 (4.5 avg) Shots on Target 31 (5.2 avg)
20 (3.3 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (3.3 avg)
19 (3.2 avg) Corners 26 (4.3 avg)
570 (95.0 avg) Attacks 611 (101.8 avg)
268 (44.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 314 (52.3 avg)
65 (10.8 avg) Key Passes 74 (12.3 avg)
3486 (581.0 avg) Passes 2327 (387.8 avg)
3105 (89%) Pass Accuracy 1935 (83%)
60% Ball Possession 47%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AC Milan Fiorentina
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (2.0 avg)
91 (15.2 avg) Tackles 90 (15.0 avg)
62 (10.3 avg) Fouls 65 (10.8 avg)
7 (1.2 avg) Offsides 7 (1.2 avg)
273 (45.5 avg) Duels Won 280 (46.7 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 66 (11.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AC Milan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Fiorentina

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)