Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao

Sun 07 Mar, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Alaves win · Most likely 38.0%
Draw 30.4%
Athletic Bilbao win 31.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 66%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 40%Avg 50%
Alaves clean sheet 34%Avg 30%
Athletic Bilbao clean sheet 30%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 69%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 57%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 66%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-011.9%
2-18.2%
2-07.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Alaves
  • Athletic Bilbao

Did you know?

  • Athletic Bilbao have underscored their xG by 0.70 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Athletic Bilbao have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Athletic Bilbao have won just 2 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Athletic Bilbao's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

15meetings
  • Alaves win · 3 (20%)
  • Draw · 6 (40%)
  • Athletic Bilbao win · 6 (40%)
Avg. total goals 1.53 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 13% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 27% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 40% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.13 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 4.60 League avg: 4.63
Alaves avg. goals 0.53 League avg: 1.36
Athletic Bilbao avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Alaves 2–4 Athletic Bilbao (02 May 26).

Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao head to head: in the previous 15 meetings, Alaves have won 3 times, Athletic Bilbao have won 6 times and 6 ended in a draw. Alaves scored 8 goals and Athletic Bilbao scored 15 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, ended 0-0 at Athletic Bilbao. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 15 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Alaves kept 6 clean sheets and Athletic Bilbao kept 9.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Alaves Athletic Bilbao
12 (1.5 avg) Goals 7 (1.0 avg)
95 (11.9 avg) Total Shots 103 (14.7 avg)
34 (4.2 avg) Shots on Target 30 (4.3 avg)
18 (2.2 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (2.6 avg)
30 (3.8 avg) Corners 43 (6.1 avg)
665 (83.1 avg) Attacks 714 (102.0 avg)
315 (39.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 370 (52.9 avg)
59 (7.4 avg) Key Passes 74 (10.6 avg)
2578 (322.2 avg) Passes 3450 (492.9 avg)
2041 (79%) Pass Accuracy 2929 (85%)
41% Ball Possession 54%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Alaves Athletic Bilbao
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
15 (1.9 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (2.1 avg)
154 (19.2 avg) Tackles 112 (16.0 avg)
105 (13.1 avg) Fouls 79 (11.3 avg)
24 (3.0 avg) Offsides 8 (1.1 avg)
412 (51.5 avg) Duels Won 330 (47.1 avg)
99 (12.4 avg) Aerial Duels Won 88 (12.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Alaves

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Athletic Bilbao

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)