Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo

Sun 21 Feb, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 25 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Athletic Bilbao win · Most likely 49.7%
Draw 27.9%
Celta Vigo win 22.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 48%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 70%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 43%Avg 50%
Athletic Bilbao clean sheet 39%Avg 30%
Celta Vigo clean sheet 22%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 59%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 46%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 83%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 67%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-012.9%
2-09.6%
2-19.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Athletic Bilbao
  • Celta Vigo

Did you know?

  • Athletic Bilbao have underscored their xG by 0.70 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Athletic Bilbao have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.
  • Celta Vigo's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Celta Vigo's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

17meetings
  • Athletic Bilbao win · 8 (47%)
  • Draw · 3 (18%)
  • Celta Vigo win · 6 (35%)
Avg. total goals 2.47 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 41% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 53% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 47% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 8.00 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 4.29 League avg: 4.63
Athletic Bilbao avg. goals 1.29 League avg: 1.36
Celta Vigo avg. goals 1.18 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Celta Vigo 0–2 Athletic Bilbao (30 Aug 26).

Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo head to head: in the previous 17 meetings, Athletic Bilbao have won 8 times, Celta Vigo have won 6 times and 3 ended in a draw. Athletic Bilbao scored 22 goals and Celta Vigo scored 20 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 30 Aug 2026, was won 2-0 by Athletic Bilbao, away at Celta Vigo. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 17 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Athletic Bilbao kept 3 clean sheets and Celta Vigo kept 6.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Athletic Bilbao Celta Vigo
7 (1.0 avg) Goals 8 (1.0 avg)
103 (14.7 avg) Total Shots 79 (9.9 avg)
30 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 26 (3.2 avg)
18 (2.6 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (2.2 avg)
43 (6.1 avg) Corners 25 (3.1 avg)
714 (102.0 avg) Attacks 808 (101.0 avg)
370 (52.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 377 (47.1 avg)
74 (10.6 avg) Key Passes 55 (6.9 avg)
3450 (492.9 avg) Passes 4090 (511.2 avg)
2929 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3576 (87%)
54% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Athletic Bilbao Celta Vigo
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
15 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.9 avg)
112 (16.0 avg) Tackles 116 (14.5 avg)
79 (11.3 avg) Fouls 96 (12.0 avg)
8 (1.1 avg) Offsides 24 (3.0 avg)
330 (47.1 avg) Duels Won 313 (39.1 avg)
88 (12.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 53 (6.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Athletic Bilbao

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Celta Vigo

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)