AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax

Sat 08 May, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 32 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AZ Alkmaar win · Most likely 42.8%
Draw 26.1%
Ajax win 31.1%

Event markets

Both teams to score 65%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 62%Avg 61%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet 23%Avg 25%
Ajax clean sheet 18%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 66%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 61%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 38%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.9%
1-06.2%
2-05.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AZ Alkmaar
  • Ajax

Did you know?

  • Ajax have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • AZ Alkmaar have lost to Ajax just once in their last 11 meetings.
  • Ajax's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Ajax are unbeaten in their last 7 matches.

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
31 Oct 26 Ajax 1–0 AZ Alkmaar
08 Feb 26 AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Ajax
18 Oct 25 Ajax 0–2 AZ Alkmaar
16 Mar 25 Ajax 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
08 Dec 24 AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Ajax
25 Feb 24 AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Ajax
08 Oct 23 Ajax 1–2 AZ Alkmaar
06 May 23 Ajax 0–0 AZ Alkmaar
18 Sep 22 AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Ajax
08 May 22 AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Ajax
12 Dec 21 Ajax 1–2 AZ Alkmaar
11meetings
  • AZ Alkmaar win · 6 (55%)
  • Draw · 4 (36%)
  • Ajax win · 1 (9%)
Avg. total goals 2.45 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 55% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 64% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 36% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 8.27 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.73 League avg: 3.14
AZ Alkmaar avg. goals 1.55 League avg: 1.61
Ajax avg. goals 0.91 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Ajax 0–2 AZ Alkmaar (18 Oct 25).

AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 6 times, Ajax have won once and 4 ended in a draw. AZ Alkmaar scored 17 goals and Ajax scored 10 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 31 Oct 2026, was won 1-0 by Ajax, at home against AZ Alkmaar. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 11 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. AZ Alkmaar kept 3 clean sheets and Ajax kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

AZ Alkmaar
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
Ajax
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    57% 5th of 18 57% 3rd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 6th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 10th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 10th of 18 18% of xG 12th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 17th of 18 13% of shots 16th of 18

Where they differ

These two are close to each other on every one of these measures.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar Ajax
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 28 (2.8 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Total Shots 205 (20.5 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Shots on Target 72 (7.2 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 51 (5.1 avg)
74 (7.4 avg) Corners 58 (5.8 avg)
842 (93.6 avg) Attacks 849 (84.9 avg)
566 (62.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 492 (49.2 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Key Passes 161 (16.1 avg)
5313 (531.3 avg) Passes 5801 (580.1 avg)
4593 (86%) Pass Accuracy 5137 (89%)
58% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar Ajax
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Fouls 95 (9.5 avg)
16 (1.8 avg) Offsides 18 (1.8 avg)
494 (49.4 avg) Duels Won 439 (43.9 avg)
116 (11.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 117 (11.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AZ Alkmaar

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Ajax

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)