Como vs AC Milan

Sun 28 Feb, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Como win · Most likely 48.0%
Draw 25.4%
AC Milan win 26.6%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 49%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 72%
Over 2.5 goals 52%Avg 47%
Como clean sheet 31%Avg 30%
AC Milan clean sheet 20%Avg 29%
Over 8.5 corners 59%Avg 54%
Over 9.5 corners 46%Avg 43%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 74%
Over 3.5 cards 56%Avg 55%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.3%
2-19.6%
2-08.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Como
  • AC Milan

Did you know?

  • AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • AC Milan have scored in 9 consecutive matches.
  • AC Milan have not lost to Como in their last 4 meetings.
  • Como have underscored their xG by 0.67 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.

H2H

All 4 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Feb 26 AC Milan 1–1 Como
15 Jan 26 Como 1–3 AC Milan
15 Mar 25 AC Milan 2–1 Como
14 Jan 25 Como 1–2 AC Milan
4meetings
  • Como win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 1 (25%)
  • AC Milan win · 3 (75%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 2.50
Over 2.5 goals 75% League avg: 47%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 49%
Whoever hosts wins 25% League avg: 40%
Avg. total corners 7.75 League avg: 9.03
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 3.77
Como avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.25
AC Milan avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.25

Biggest win: Como 1–3 AC Milan (15 Jan 26).

Como vs AC Milan head to head: in the previous 4 meetings, Como have not won, AC Milan have won 3 times and 1 ended in a draw. Como scored 4 goals and AC Milan scored 8 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at AC Milan. AC Milan are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 4 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Como AC Milan
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 11 (1.8 avg)
136 (22.7 avg) Total Shots 75 (12.5 avg)
40 (6.7 avg) Shots on Target 27 (4.5 avg)
42 (7.0 avg) Blocked Shots 20 (3.3 avg)
46 (7.7 avg) Corners 19 (3.2 avg)
667 (111.2 avg) Attacks 570 (95.0 avg)
393 (65.5 avg) Dangerous Attacks 268 (44.7 avg)
101 (16.8 avg) Key Passes 65 (10.8 avg)
3627 (604.5 avg) Passes 3486 (581.0 avg)
3258 (90%) Pass Accuracy 3105 (89%)
62% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Como AC Milan
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
6 (1.0 avg) Yellow Cards 12 (2.0 avg)
104 (17.3 avg) Tackles 91 (15.2 avg)
48 (8.0 avg) Fouls 62 (10.3 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Offsides 7 (1.2 avg)
289 (48.2 avg) Duels Won 273 (45.5 avg)
64 (10.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 72 (12.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Como

1.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

AC Milan

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)