Hamburg vs RB Leipzig

Sat 06 Feb, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 20 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Hamburg win 30.7%
Draw 25.6%
RB Leipzig win · Most likely 43.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 62%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 80%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 62%
Hamburg clean sheet 19%Avg 26%
RB Leipzig clean sheet 25%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 57%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 44%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 74%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 53%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.2%
0-17.8%
0-26.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Hamburg
  • RB Leipzig

Did you know?

  • RB Leipzig's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • RB Leipzig's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • RB Leipzig's matches have produced over 3.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • RB Leipzig's matches have averaged 4.4 goals per game over their last 10, well above the league average of 3.2.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
13 Sep 26 RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburg
01 Mar 26 Hamburg 1–2 RB Leipzig
18 Oct 25 RB Leipzig 2–1 Hamburg
3meetings
  • Hamburg win · 0 (0%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • RB Leipzig win · 3 (100%)
Avg. total goals 3.67 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 67% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 67% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 11.67 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 4.00 League avg: 3.82
Hamburg avg. goals 0.67 League avg: 1.60
RB Leipzig avg. goals 3.00 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: RB Leipzig 5–0 Hamburg (13 Sep 26).

Hamburg vs RB Leipzig head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Hamburg have not won, RB Leipzig have won 3 times and none ended in a draw. Hamburg scored 2 goals and RB Leipzig scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 13 Sep 2026, was won 5-0 by RB Leipzig, at home against Hamburg. RB Leipzig have won each of the last 3 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 2 of 3 and 3 had over 2.5 goals. RB Leipzig kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Hamburg RB Leipzig
6 (1.0 avg) Goals 16 (2.7 avg)
67 (11.2 avg) Total Shots 107 (17.8 avg)
22 (3.7 avg) Shots on Target 39 (6.5 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Blocked Shots 28 (4.7 avg)
23 (3.8 avg) Corners 33 (5.5 avg)
458 (76.3 avg) Attacks 640 (106.7 avg)
198 (33.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 274 (45.7 avg)
47 (7.8 avg) Key Passes 80 (13.3 avg)
2077 (346.2 avg) Passes 3055 (509.2 avg)
1624 (78%) Pass Accuracy 2651 (87%)
40% Ball Possession 53%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Hamburg RB Leipzig
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
8 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 6 (1.0 avg)
93 (15.5 avg) Tackles 89 (14.8 avg)
84 (14.0 avg) Fouls 59 (9.8 avg)
10 (2.0 avg) Offsides 5 (0.8 avg)
276 (46.0 avg) Duels Won 285 (47.5 avg)
80 (13.3 avg) Aerial Duels Won 54 (9.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Hamburg

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

RB Leipzig

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)