Mainz vs Hamburg

Sat 30 Jan, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 19 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Mainz win · Most likely 58.2%
Draw 22.6%
Hamburg win 19.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 62%
Mainz clean sheet 32%Avg 26%
Hamburg clean sheet 13%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 65%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 75%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 55%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-110.0%
2-08.6%
1-08.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Mainz
  • Hamburg

Did you know?

  • Hamburg's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Mainz have won just 2 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Mainz's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.
  • Mainz have scored in 5 consecutive matches.

H2H

All 3 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
06 Sep 26 Hamburg 0–5 Mainz
20 Feb 26 Mainz 1–1 Hamburg
05 Oct 25 Hamburg 4–0 Mainz
3meetings
  • Mainz win · 1 (33%)
  • Draw · 1 (33%)
  • Hamburg win · 1 (33%)
Avg. total goals 3.67 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 33% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 33% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 7.67 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 4.67 League avg: 3.82
Mainz avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.60
Hamburg avg. goals 1.67 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Hamburg 0–5 Mainz (06 Sep 26).

Mainz vs Hamburg head to head: in the previous 3 meetings, Mainz have won once, Hamburg have won once and 1 ended in a draw. Mainz scored 6 goals and Hamburg scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 6 Sep 2026, was won 5-0 by Mainz, away at Hamburg. Across these matches, both teams scored in 1 of 3 and 2 had over 2.5 goals. Mainz kept 1 clean sheet and Hamburg kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Mainz Hamburg
14 (2.3 avg) Goals 6 (1.0 avg)
106 (17.7 avg) Total Shots 67 (11.2 avg)
36 (6.0 avg) Shots on Target 22 (3.7 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Blocked Shots 14 (2.3 avg)
29 (4.8 avg) Corners 23 (3.8 avg)
628 (104.7 avg) Attacks 458 (76.3 avg)
318 (53.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 198 (33.0 avg)
81 (13.5 avg) Key Passes 47 (7.8 avg)
2676 (446.0 avg) Passes 2077 (346.2 avg)
2139 (80%) Pass Accuracy 1624 (78%)
51% Ball Possession 40%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Mainz Hamburg
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (2.3 avg) Yellow Cards 8 (1.3 avg)
102 (17.0 avg) Tackles 93 (15.5 avg)
83 (13.8 avg) Fouls 84 (14.0 avg)
12 (2.0 avg) Offsides 10 (2.0 avg)
315 (52.5 avg) Duels Won 276 (46.0 avg)
124 (20.7 avg) Aerial Duels Won 80 (13.3 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Hamburg

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)