Olympiacos
vs
AC Milan
Thu 26 Nov, 17:45 UTC · Matchday 5 · probabilities and historical statistics
Live Games
Predicted outcome
Event markets
This match League average
Predicted Score
Team comparison
- Olympiacos
- AC Milan
Did you know?
- Olympiacos have underscored their xG by 0.84 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
- AC Milan's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
- Olympiacos have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their last 10 games.
- AC Milan's matches have stayed under 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 10 (corner data on file).
H2H
These two have not met in the Europa League in the stored history, which goes back to 2024/25.
Ball Stats (Last 10 games)
AC Milan
Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)
AC Milan
Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 1 (25%)
- Over · 3 (75%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 1 (25%)
- Over · 3 (75%)
- Under · 10 (100%)
- Over · 0 (0%)
- Under · 1 (25%)
- Over · 3 (75%)
- Yes · 7 (70%)
- No · 3 (30%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Under · 0 (0%)
- Over · 10 (100%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 6 (60%)
- Over · 4 (40%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 4 (40%)
- No · 6 (60%)
- Under · 7 (70%)
- Over · 3 (30%)
- Under · 2 (20%)
- Over · 8 (80%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 4 (40%)
- Over · 6 (60%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Yes · 6 (60%)
- No · 4 (40%)
- Yes · 2 (20%)
- No · 8 (80%)
- Under · 1 (10%)
- Over · 9 (90%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 5 (50%)
- Over · 5 (50%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 8 (80%)
- Over · 2 (20%)
- Under · 9 (90%)
- Over · 1 (10%)
- Yes · 3 (30%)
- No · 7 (70%)
- Yes · 5 (50%)
- No · 5 (50%)
Match Outlook
Olympiacos (6th, 10 points) welcome AC Milan (28th, 3 points). Olympiacos come into it in fine form, unbeaten in 5 (DWWWW), scoring 6 and conceding 2, and have won 6 of their last 10 at home. AC Milan have lost 3 of their last 5 (LWLWL), scoring 7 and conceding 10, and have won 5 of their last 10 on the road. Olympiacos are without M. Saliakas (3 of 4 starts) and A. E. Kaabi (3 of 4 starts). AC Milan go in without Samuel Chukwueze (ever present), while Strahinja Pavlović (ever present) is a doubt, with 4 more on the absentee list. The main goal threats are J. Silva (2 goals) for Olympiacos and Adrien Rabiot (5 goals) for AC Milan. Olympiacos are favourites here (Olympiacos win 54%, draw 23%, AC Milan win 23%). A fairly typical number of goals is expected, with 1-0 the most likely score. How Olympiacos cope without M. Saliakas and A. E. Kaabi could decide whether that edge holds.
-
Olympiacos Suspended M. Saliakas 3 of 4 starts
-
Olympiacos Injured A. E. Kaabi 3 of 4 starts
-
AC Milan
Doubt
Strahinja Pavlović
ever present
-
AC Milan
Injured
Samuel Chukwueze
ever present
Olympiacos
Previous 10 Matches
LWWWWWWWWD-
04 Nov 26 A Olympiacos vs
Rennes
0–0
D
-
31 Oct 26 A Olympiacos vs
Kifisia 3–2 W
-
25 Oct 26 H Olympiacos vs
Kalamata 5–0 W
-
22 Oct 26 H Olympiacos vs
Sparta Prague 1–0 W
-
18 Oct 26 A Olympiacos vs
Panetolikos 2–0 W
-
15 Oct 26 A Olympiacos vs
Marseille
1–0
W
-
11 Oct 26 H Olympiacos vs
Panathinaikos 1–0 W
-
20 Sep 26 A Olympiacos vs
Levadiakos 1–0 W
-
16 Sep 26 H Olympiacos vs
Jagiellonia Bialystok 2–1 W
-
12 Sep 26 H Olympiacos vs
OFI Crete 0–1 L
Previous 10 Matches
DLDWWLWWWW-
25 Oct 26 H Olympiacos vs
Kalamata 5–0 W
-
22 Oct 26 H Olympiacos vs
Sparta Prague 1–0 W
-
11 Oct 26 H Olympiacos vs
Panathinaikos 1–0 W
-
16 Sep 26 H Olympiacos vs
Jagiellonia Bialystok 2–1 W
-
12 Sep 26 H Olympiacos vs
OFI Crete 0–1 L
-
22 Aug 26 H Olympiacos vs
Atromitos 1–0 W
-
13 May 26 H Olympiacos vs
Panathinaikos 1–0 W
-
10 May 26 H Olympiacos vs
PAOK 1–1 D
-
05 Apr 26 H Olympiacos vs
AEK Athens 0–1 L
-
22 Mar 26 H Olympiacos vs
Larisa 0–0 D
Previous 10 Matches
WLDWDWWWWD-
04 Nov 26 A Olympiacos vs
Rennes
0–0
D
-
31 Oct 26 A Olympiacos vs
Kifisia 3–2 W
-
18 Oct 26 A Olympiacos vs
Panetolikos 2–0 W
-
15 Oct 26 A Olympiacos vs
Marseille
1–0
W
-
20 Sep 26 A Olympiacos vs
Levadiakos 1–0 W
-
05 Sep 26 A Olympiacos vs
Volos NFC 1–1 D
-
30 Aug 26 A Olympiacos vs
Asteras Tripolis 1–0 W
-
17 May 26 A Olympiacos vs
AEK Athens 1–1 D
-
03 May 26 A Olympiacos vs
PAOK 1–3 L
-
19 Apr 26 A Olympiacos vs
Panathinaikos 2–0 W
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
6th in the league phase · 10 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | DDWWLWWWWD | 2.10 |
| Home* | DLDWWLWWWW | 2.00 |
| Away* | WLDWDWWWWD | 2.10 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 63% | 69% | 57% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.50 | 2.74 | 2.26 |
| Scored/game | 1.75 | 2.02 | 1.49 |
| Conceded/game | 0.75 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 45% | 41% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 14% | 21% |
| xG/game | 1.73 | 1.98 | 1.49 |
| xG against/game | 0.85 | 0.72 | 0.98 |
| npxG/game | 1.53 | 1.77 | 1.30 |
| Led at half-time | 44% | 48% | 40% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 24% | 31% | 19% |
AC Milan
Previous 10 Matches
LWDWWLWLWL-
05 Nov 26 H AC Milan vs
Ferencvaros 0–2 L
-
22 Oct 26 A AC Milan vs
Bournemouth
0–3
L
-
15 Oct 26 A AC Milan vs
Red Bull Salzburg 4–0 W
Previous 10 Matches
WLWWDDDWLW-
22 Oct 26 A AC Milan vs
Bournemouth
0–3
L
-
15 Oct 26 A AC Milan vs
Red Bull Salzburg 4–0 W
* not enough games played in this league yet. It includes recent matches from other divisions to fill out the sample.
Form & stats (Last 10)
28th in the league phase · 3 pts
| Results | PPG | |
|---|---|---|
| Overall* | LWDWWLWLWL | 1.60 |
| Home* | DLLWLWWLWL | 1.30 |
| Away* | WLWWDDDWLW | 1.80 |
All time statistics
| Overall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Win % | 55% | 55% | 54% |
| Goals/game (both sides) | 2.78 | 2.68 | 2.87 |
| Scored/game | 1.69 | 1.68 | 1.70 |
| Conceded/game | 1.09 | 1.00 | 1.17 |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 51% | 59% |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 40% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 16% | 16% | 15% |
| xG/game | 1.76 | 1.82 | 1.69 |
| xG against/game | 1.18 | 1.11 | 1.25 |
| npxG/game | 1.59 | 1.65 | 1.52 |
| Deep completions/game | 7.6 | 8.2 | 7.0 |
| PPDA (press intensity) | 11.7 | 11.2 | 12.2 |
| Led at half-time | 41% | 43% | 38% |
| Comebacks (trailed at HT, won) | 15% | 15% | 15% |
League standings
Olympiacos are 6th with 10 points. AC Milan are 28th with 3 points.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 12 | |
| 2 | Bournemouth |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | +8 | 12 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 10 | |
| 5 | Juventus |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 10 | |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 7 | |
| 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 | |
| 11 | Sunderland |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 | |
| 13 | Lyon |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 6 | |
| 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 6 | |
| 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 6 | |
| 17 | Rennes |
4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 6 |
| 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 6 | |
| 19 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 | |
| 20 | Real Sociedad |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 5 |
| 21 | Crystal Palace |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 5 |
| 22 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 4 | |
| 23 | Hoffenheim |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 4 |
| 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | |
| 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | |
| 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 4 | |
| 27 | Celta Vigo |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
| 28 | AC Milan |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
| 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 | |
| 30 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | |
| 31 | Marseille |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 32 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 | |
| 33 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 | |
| 34 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | -8 | 1 | |
| 35 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 1 | |
| 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
Scroll the table sideways for every column
Lineups & injuries
No expected XI available for Olympiacos yet.
Out / doubtful
- M. Saliakas Suspended · Yellow_card_accumulation_suspension (back 2026-11-13)
- A. E. Kaabi Injured · Broken cheekbone
No expected XI available for AC Milan yet.
Out / doubtful
- Fikayo Tomori Injured · Muscle injury (back 2026-11-20)
- Matteo Gabbia Injured · Tendon injury (back 2027-01-10)
- Ruben Loftus-Cheek Injured · Thigh injury (back 2026-11-30)
- Samuel Chukwueze Injured · Thigh injury (back 2027-01-20)
- Pietro Terracciano Doubtful · Physical discomfort (back 2026-11-10)
- Strahinja Pavlović Doubtful · Physical discomfort (back 2026-11-19)
Season Player Statistics
Each player’s numbers in their last 3 matches individually, next to their season total and appearances.
Goals
Scored this season
AC Milan
- Adrien Rabiot 000 5 8
- Diego Moreira –00 4 6
- Alphadjo Cissè ––0 4 4
Shots on target
Efforts that tested the keeper
Olympiacos
- J. Silva 00– 7 7
- A. E. Kaabi ––– 5 3
- G. Martins 102 5 1
AC Milan
- Gonçalo Ramos 1–0 10 10
- Alphadjo Cissè ––0 7 4
- Christian Pulisic 0–0 6 7
Total shots
Every attempt on goal
Olympiacos
- J. Silva 38– 21 7
- K. Fortounis 0–2 13 5
- J. Roca ––– 13 5
AC Milan
- Gonçalo Ramos 2–2 25 10
- Alphadjo Cissè ––1 12 4
- Adrien Rabiot 200 11 8
Most carded
Yellow and red cards
Olympiacos
- M. Saliakas 000 2Y 1R 3
- P. Retsos 100 3Y 7
- J. Silva 01– 2Y 7
AC Milan
- Koni De Winter 011 3Y 10
- Strahinja Pavlović 00– 3Y 10
- Gonçalo Ramos 0–0 2Y 10
Most fouls
Fouls committed
Olympiacos
- J. Silva 31– 16 7
- P. Retsos 000 13 7
- N. Tiknizyan 010 10 7
AC Milan
- Gonçalo Ramos 0–1 17 10
- Koni De Winter 221 15 10
- Strahinja Pavlović 02– 7 10
Most tackles
Tackles made
AC Milan
- Strahinja Pavlović 31– 24 10
- Koni De Winter 241 16 10
- Mario Gila ––0 12 8
Interceptions
Passes cut out
Olympiacos
- N. Tiknizyan 000 9 7
- R. Freuler 02– 9 6
- P. Retsos 152 8 7
AC Milan
- Koni De Winter 213 13 10
- Luka Modrić 1–0 13 10
- Mario Gila ––0 9 8
Duels won
Challenges won
AC Milan
- Strahinja Pavlović 610– 66 10
- Gonçalo Ramos 1–6 50 10
- Koni De Winter 484 40 10
Blocked shots
Shots stopped on the way
Olympiacos
- L. Pirola 00– 4 8
- N. Tiknizyan 000 3 7
- J. Silva 10– 1 7
AC Milan
- Koni De Winter 201 5 10
- Strahinja Pavlović 10– 3 10
- Mario Gila ––0 3 8
Key passes
Passes that set up a shot
Olympiacos
- K. Fortounis 0–4 17 5
- Chiquinho 190 13 6
- G. Sá 002 8 3
AC Milan
- Samuel Chukwueze ––– 12 7
- Luka Modrić 1–1 11 10
- Christian Pulisic 1–2 10 7
Referee
No referee assigned yet, or no cards data on file for the official appointed to this fixture.
Historic Bets Win Rate
How often each market has actually landed over each side’s last 10 games.
Top 5 Bangers
The five markets that have landed most often over the last 10 games, best first.
-
1
AC Milan
Over 1.5 Goals in the Match
100.0%
-
2
Olympiacos To Win or Draw (Double Chance) 90.0%
-
3
AC Milan
First Goal Before 30 Minutes
80.0%
-
4
AC Milan
Over 2.5 Cards in the Match
80.0%
-
5
AC Milan
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals
80.0%
-
1
MM
Mike Maignan
Over 1.5 Saves
100.0%
-
2
JS
J. Silva Over 0.5 Fouls Committed 90.0%
-
3
JR
J. Roca Over 1.5 Shots 83.3%
-
4
AS
Alexis Saelemaekers
Over 1.5 Tackles
70.0%
-
5
CP
Christian Pulisic
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
70.0%
Match Result
3 markets
Handicap
3 markets
Goals
9 markets
Both Teams to Score
5 markets
Correct Score
6 markets
Half-Time
6 markets
Half-Time / Full-Time
5 markets
First & Last Goal
5 markets
Clean Sheet & Win to Nil
4 markets
Corners
9 markets
Cards
7 markets
Shots
6 markets
Fouls & Offsides
4 markets
Match Specials
3 markets
Goalscorer
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Assists
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Shots
6 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Cards
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Fouls
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Tackles
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Goalkeeper
4 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Player Combos
3 markets, best-placed player from each squad
Inter
Bologna
Udinese
Atalanta
Sassuolo
Lecce
Cagliari
Juventus
Lazio
Torino
Genoa
Bayer Leverkusen
Sunderland
Lyon
Real Sociedad
Crystal Palace
Hoffenheim
Celta Vigo