AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard

Sat 20 Feb, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AZ Alkmaar win · Most likely 65.6%
Draw 21.4%
Fortuna Sittard win 13.0%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 61%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet 38%Avg 25%
Fortuna Sittard clean sheet 11%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 59%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 46%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 62%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 40%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-010.1%
2-19.8%
1-08.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AZ Alkmaar
  • Fortuna Sittard

Did you know?

  • Fortuna Sittard have scored in 8 consecutive matches.
  • Fortuna Sittard have outscored their xG by 0.76 goals per game over their last 10. Finishing that hot rarely keeps up.
  • AZ Alkmaar beat Fortuna Sittard 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of Fortuna Sittard's last 10 matches.

H2H

11meetings
  • AZ Alkmaar win · 9 (82%)
  • Draw · 0 (0%)
  • Fortuna Sittard win · 2 (18%)
Avg. total goals 3.00 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 64% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 45% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 64% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.82 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 2.55 League avg: 3.14
AZ Alkmaar avg. goals 2.18 League avg: 1.61
Fortuna Sittard avg. goals 0.82 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Fortuna Sittard (01 Oct 23).

AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 9 times, Fortuna Sittard have won 2 times and none ended in a draw. AZ Alkmaar scored 24 goals and Fortuna Sittard scored 9 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 22 Aug 2026, was won 2-0 by AZ Alkmaar, away at Fortuna Sittard. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 11 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. AZ Alkmaar kept 5 clean sheets and Fortuna Sittard kept 1.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

AZ Alkmaar
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
Fortuna Sittard
  • Cedes possession
  • Shoots on sight
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    57% 5th of 18 39% 18th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 6th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 16th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 9th of 18 19% of xG 11th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 17th of 18 16% of shots 11th of 18

Where they differ

  • AZ Alkmaar see much more of the ball than Fortuna Sittard, 57% against 39%.
  • AZ Alkmaar wait for better chances than Fortuna Sittard, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • Fortuna Sittard go more through the air than AZ Alkmaar, 16% of shots against 12%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar Fortuna Sittard
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 16 (1.6 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Total Shots 100 (10.0 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Shots on Target 42 (4.2 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 25 (2.5 avg)
74 (7.4 avg) Corners 28 (2.8 avg)
842 (93.6 avg) Attacks 653 (72.6 avg)
566 (62.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 275 (30.6 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Key Passes 76 (7.6 avg)
5313 (531.3 avg) Passes 3336 (333.6 avg)
4593 (86%) Pass Accuracy 2581 (77%)
58% Ball Possession 37%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar Fortuna Sittard
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 138 (13.8 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Fouls 104 (10.4 avg)
16 (1.8 avg) Offsides 13 (1.4 avg)
497 (49.7 avg) Duels Won 423 (42.3 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Aerial Duels Won 124 (12.4 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AZ Alkmaar

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Fortuna Sittard

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)