AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle

Sun 16 May, 12:30 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AZ Alkmaar win · Most likely 66.4%
Draw 21.1%
PEC Zwolle win 12.5%

Event markets

Both teams to score 56%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 62%Avg 61%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet 39%Avg 25%
PEC Zwolle clean sheet 11%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 68%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 56%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 54%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 32%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-010.2%
2-19.8%
1-08.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AZ Alkmaar
  • PEC Zwolle

Did you know?

  • PEC Zwolle have won just 1 of their last 10 away matches.
  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 8 meetings.
  • PEC Zwolle's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 7 of their last 9 (corner data on file).
  • Both teams have scored in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two.

H2H

All 8 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
17 Jan 26 PEC Zwolle 3–1 AZ Alkmaar
24 Sep 25 AZ Alkmaar 2–2 PEC Zwolle
09 Feb 25 AZ Alkmaar 2–0 PEC Zwolle
20 Sep 24 PEC Zwolle 1–2 AZ Alkmaar
20 Jan 24 AZ Alkmaar 2–2 PEC Zwolle
24 Sep 23 PEC Zwolle 0–3 AZ Alkmaar
10 Apr 22 PEC Zwolle 2–1 AZ Alkmaar
30 Oct 21 AZ Alkmaar 3–2 PEC Zwolle
8meetings
  • AZ Alkmaar win · 4 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (25%)
  • PEC Zwolle win · 2 (25%)
Avg. total goals 3.50 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 88% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 75% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.75 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.25 League avg: 3.14
AZ Alkmaar avg. goals 2.00 League avg: 1.61
PEC Zwolle avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: PEC Zwolle 0–3 AZ Alkmaar (24 Sep 23).

AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle head to head: in the previous 8 meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 4 times, PEC Zwolle have won 2 times and 2 ended in a draw. AZ Alkmaar scored 16 goals and PEC Zwolle scored 12 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 17 Jan 2026, was won 3-1 by PEC Zwolle, at home against AZ Alkmaar. Across these matches, both teams scored in 6 of 8 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. AZ Alkmaar kept 2 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

AZ Alkmaar
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
PEC Zwolle
  • Shoots on sight
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    57% 5th of 18 43% 16th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 6th of 18 0.09 xG a shot 18th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 9th of 18 29% of xG 2nd of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 17th of 18 18% of shots 7th of 18

Where they differ

  • AZ Alkmaar wait for better chances than PEC Zwolle, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.09.
  • AZ Alkmaar see much more of the ball than PEC Zwolle, 57% against 43%.
  • PEC Zwolle go more through the air than AZ Alkmaar, 18% of shots against 12%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar PEC Zwolle
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 12 (1.2 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Total Shots 140 (14.0 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Shots on Target 46 (4.6 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 37 (3.7 avg)
74 (7.4 avg) Corners 51 (5.1 avg)
842 (93.6 avg) Attacks 892 (89.2 avg)
566 (62.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 495 (49.5 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Key Passes 106 (10.6 avg)
5313 (531.3 avg) Passes 3802 (380.2 avg)
4593 (86%) Pass Accuracy 2925 (77%)
58% Ball Possession 44%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar PEC Zwolle
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 15 (1.5 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 164 (16.4 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Fouls 115 (11.5 avg)
16 (1.8 avg) Offsides 14 (1.8 avg)
494 (49.4 avg) Duels Won 460 (46.0 avg)
116 (11.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 149 (14.9 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AZ Alkmaar

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

PEC Zwolle

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)