Real Madrid vs Valencia

Sun 28 Feb, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 26 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Real Madrid win · Most likely 70.4%
Draw 18.7%
Valencia win 10.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 52%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 50%
Real Madrid clean sheet 43%Avg 30%
Valencia clean sheet 10%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 77%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 67%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 81%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 64%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-011.3%
1-09.9%
2-19.7%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Real Madrid
  • Valencia

Did you know?

  • Real Madrid have won 9 of their last 10 home matches.
  • Real Madrid have won 8 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Real Madrid beat Valencia 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Real Madrid's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

16meetings
  • Real Madrid win · 10 (62%)
  • Draw · 2 (12%)
  • Valencia win · 4 (25%)
Avg. total goals 3.12 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 62% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 56% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 62% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 8.69 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 4.38 League avg: 4.63
Real Madrid avg. goals 2.12 League avg: 1.36
Valencia avg. goals 1.00 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Real Madrid 4–0 Valencia (01 Nov 25).

Real Madrid vs Valencia head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Real Madrid have won 10 times, Valencia have won 4 times and 2 ended in a draw. Real Madrid scored 34 goals and Valencia scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 8 Feb 2026, was won 2-0 by Real Madrid, away at Valencia. Across these matches, both teams scored in 9 of 16 and 10 had over 2.5 goals. Real Madrid kept 6 clean sheets and Valencia kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Real Madrid Valencia
19 (2.4 avg) Goals 6 (0.7 avg)
143 (17.9 avg) Total Shots 100 (11.1 avg)
57 (7.1 avg) Shots on Target 24 (2.7 avg)
36 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 31 (3.4 avg)
57 (7.1 avg) Corners 36 (4.0 avg)
818 (102.2 avg) Attacks 769 (85.4 avg)
473 (59.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 347 (38.6 avg)
123 (15.4 avg) Key Passes 66 (7.3 avg)
4091 (511.4 avg) Passes 3804 (422.7 avg)
3679 (90%) Pass Accuracy 3115 (82%)
52% Ball Possession 46%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Real Madrid Valencia
2 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
17 (2.1 avg) Yellow Cards 20 (2.2 avg)
124 (15.5 avg) Tackles 153 (17.0 avg)
67 (8.4 avg) Fouls 98 (10.9 avg)
16 (2.0 avg) Offsides 19 (2.1 avg)
403 (50.4 avg) Duels Won 414 (46.0 avg)
56 (7.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 88 (9.8 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Real Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Valencia

1.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)