Villarreal vs Real Madrid

Sun 07 Mar, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Villarreal win · Most likely 39.8%
Draw 24.9%
Real Madrid win 35.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 65%Avg 56%
Over 1.5 goals 82%Avg 75%
Over 2.5 goals 61%Avg 50%
Villarreal clean sheet 21%Avg 30%
Real Madrid clean sheet 19%Avg 19%
Over 8.5 corners 76%Avg 58%
Over 9.5 corners 65%Avg 47%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 80%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 65%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.6%
1-06.7%
2-05.4%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Villarreal
  • Real Madrid

Did you know?

  • Villarreal have underscored their xG by 0.72 goals per game over their last 10. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Real Madrid have won 8 of their last 10 matches (all competitions).
  • Both teams have scored in 12 of the last 17 meetings between these two.
  • Villarreal's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 10.

H2H

All 17 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
10 Oct 26 Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal
24 Jan 26 Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid
04 Oct 25 Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal
15 Mar 25 Villarreal 1–2 Real Madrid
05 Oct 24 Real Madrid 2–0 Villarreal
19 May 24 Villarreal 4–4 Real Madrid
17 Dec 23 Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal
08 Apr 23 Real Madrid 2–3 Villarreal
07 Jan 23 Villarreal 2–1 Real Madrid
12 Feb 22 Villarreal 0–0 Real Madrid
25 Sep 21 Real Madrid 0–0 Villarreal
22 May 21 Real Madrid 2–1 Villarreal
21 Nov 20 Villarreal 1–1 Real Madrid
16 Jul 20 Real Madrid 2–1 Villarreal
01 Sep 19 Villarreal 2–2 Real Madrid
05 May 19 Real Madrid 3–2 Villarreal
03 Jan 19 Villarreal 2–2 Real Madrid
17meetings
  • Villarreal win · 2 (12%)
  • Draw · 6 (35%)
  • Real Madrid win · 9 (53%)
Avg. total goals 3.18 League avg: 2.72
Over 2.5 goals 65% League avg: 50%
Both teams to score 71% League avg: 56%
Whoever hosts wins 47% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.12 League avg: 9.69
Avg. total cards 4.18 League avg: 4.63
Villarreal avg. goals 1.24 League avg: 1.36
Real Madrid avg. goals 1.94 League avg: 1.36

Biggest win: Real Madrid 4–1 Villarreal (17 Dec 23).

Villarreal vs Real Madrid head to head: in the previous 17 meetings, Villarreal have won 2 times, Real Madrid have won 9 times and 6 ended in a draw. Villarreal scored 21 goals and Real Madrid scored 33 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 10 Oct 2026, was won 1-0 by Real Madrid, at home against Villarreal. Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 12 of 17 and 11 had over 2.5 goals. Villarreal kept 2 clean sheets and Real Madrid kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Villarreal Real Madrid
13 (1.4 avg) Goals 19 (2.4 avg)
147 (16.3 avg) Total Shots 143 (17.9 avg)
57 (6.3 avg) Shots on Target 57 (7.1 avg)
42 (4.7 avg) Blocked Shots 36 (4.5 avg)
64 (7.1 avg) Corners 57 (7.1 avg)
1048 (116.4 avg) Attacks 818 (102.2 avg)
620 (68.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 473 (59.1 avg)
111 (12.3 avg) Key Passes 123 (15.4 avg)
5172 (574.7 avg) Passes 4091 (511.4 avg)
4599 (89%) Pass Accuracy 3679 (90%)
61% Ball Possession 52%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Villarreal Real Madrid
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 2 (0.2 avg)
16 (1.8 avg) Yellow Cards 17 (2.1 avg)
131 (14.6 avg) Tackles 124 (15.5 avg)
100 (11.1 avg) Fouls 67 (8.4 avg)
26 (2.9 avg) Offsides 16 (2.0 avg)
404 (44.9 avg) Duels Won 403 (50.4 avg)
74 (8.2 avg) Aerial Duels Won 56 (7.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Villarreal

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 9 (100%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 7 (70%)
  • No · 3 (30%)

Real Madrid

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)