Match summary
Real Madrid won 1-0 away at Rayo Vallecano. It was goalless at half-time.
Karim Benzema put Real Madrid ahead in the 83rd minute, set up by Vinícius Júnior.
The chances backed that up: Real Madrid created 1.93 expected goals (xG) from 13 shots to Rayo Vallecano's 1.24 from 19.
Before kick-off
Rayo Vallecano win
16%
Avg odds 6.03
Draw
23%
Avg odds 4.21
Real Madrid win
61%
Avg odds 1.57
Chances implied by the average closing odds, with the bookmaker margin removed.
Shots, expected goals and player data from Understat. Results and odds from football-data.co.uk. Referee data before 2025/26 from the Transfermarkt datasets project.