AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior

Sat 20 Mar, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 27 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

AZ Alkmaar win · Most likely 64.8%
Draw 20.8%
Excelsior win 14.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 85%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 65%Avg 61%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet 34%Avg 25%
Excelsior clean sheet 10%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 70%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 58%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 48%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 27%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.7%
2-09.0%
3-17.5%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • AZ Alkmaar
  • Excelsior

Did you know?

  • Excelsior have gone 8 matches without a win.
  • Excelsior have conceded in each of their last 8 matches.
  • AZ Alkmaar beat Excelsior 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Excelsior have won just 2 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Feb 26 Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar
21 Jan 26 AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior
10 Mar 24 AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Excelsior
04 Nov 23 Excelsior 1–1 AZ Alkmaar
10 Feb 23 AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Excelsior
23 Oct 22 Excelsior 2–1 AZ Alkmaar
6meetings
  • AZ Alkmaar win · 3 (50%)
  • Draw · 2 (33%)
  • Excelsior win · 1 (17%)
Avg. total goals 3.17 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 67% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.33 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 2.83 League avg: 3.14
AZ Alkmaar avg. goals 2.33 League avg: 1.61
Excelsior avg. goals 0.83 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Excelsior (10 Feb 23).

AZ Alkmaar vs Excelsior head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 3 times, Excelsior have won once and 2 ended in a draw. AZ Alkmaar scored 14 goals and Excelsior scored 5 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Feb 2026, was won 2-1 by AZ Alkmaar, away at Excelsior. AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 6 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. AZ Alkmaar kept 2 clean sheets.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

AZ Alkmaar
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Cedes possession
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    57% 5th of 18 46% 14th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 6th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    20% of xG 10th of 18 27% of xG 3rd of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    12% of shots 17th of 18 19% of shots 4th of 18

Where they differ

  • Excelsior go more through the air than AZ Alkmaar, 19% of shots against 12%.
  • AZ Alkmaar see much more of the ball than Excelsior, 57% against 46%.
  • Excelsior get more of their chances from set pieces than AZ Alkmaar, 27% against 20%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar Excelsior
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 11 (1.1 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Total Shots 97 (9.7 avg)
65 (6.5 avg) Shots on Target 29 (2.9 avg)
45 (4.5 avg) Blocked Shots 32 (3.2 avg)
74 (7.4 avg) Corners 36 (3.6 avg)
842 (93.6 avg) Attacks 697 (77.4 avg)
566 (62.9 avg) Dangerous Attacks 318 (35.3 avg)
141 (14.1 avg) Key Passes 68 (6.8 avg)
5313 (531.3 avg) Passes 3887 (388.7 avg)
4593 (86%) Pass Accuracy 3071 (79%)
58% Ball Possession 41%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

AZ Alkmaar Excelsior
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.1 avg)
16 (1.6 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (1.4 avg)
175 (17.5 avg) Tackles 141 (14.1 avg)
127 (12.7 avg) Fouls 110 (11.0 avg)
16 (1.8 avg) Offsides 6 (0.7 avg)
494 (49.4 avg) Duels Won 420 (42.0 avg)
116 (11.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 150 (15.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

AZ Alkmaar

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (33%)
  • Over · 6 (67%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)