Excelsior vs Ajax

Sat 13 Feb, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 22 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Excelsior win 19.2%
Draw 23.6%
Ajax win · Most likely 57.2%

Event markets

Both teams to score 63%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 63%Avg 61%
Excelsior clean sheet 13%Avg 25%
Ajax clean sheet 30%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 59%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 46%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 65%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 43%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.8%
0-28.1%
0-17.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Excelsior
  • Ajax

Did you know?

  • These two have gone over 2.5 goals in 7 of their last 7 meetings.
  • Both teams have scored in 7 of the last 7 meetings between these two.
  • Ajax have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Ajax beat Excelsior 7-1 in the biggest recent win between these two.

H2H

All 7 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
19 Sep 26 Ajax 2–2 Excelsior
01 Feb 26 Excelsior 2–2 Ajax
22 Nov 25 Ajax 1–2 Excelsior
24 Apr 24 Ajax 2–2 Excelsior
19 Aug 23 Excelsior 2–2 Ajax
29 Jan 23 Excelsior 1–4 Ajax
16 Oct 22 Ajax 7–1 Excelsior
7meetings
  • Excelsior win · 1 (14%)
  • Draw · 4 (57%)
  • Ajax win · 2 (29%)
Avg. total goals 4.57 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 100% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 100% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 14% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 10.57 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 2.00 League avg: 3.14
Excelsior avg. goals 1.71 League avg: 1.61
Ajax avg. goals 2.86 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Ajax 7–1 Excelsior (16 Oct 22).

Excelsior vs Ajax head to head: in the previous 7 meetings, Excelsior have won once, Ajax have won 2 times and 4 ended in a draw. Excelsior scored 12 goals and Ajax scored 20 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 19 Sep 2026, ended 2-2 at Ajax. Excelsior are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 7 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Neither side has kept a clean sheet against the other.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
Ajax
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 14th of 18 57% 3rd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18 0.11 xG a shot 10th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    26% of xG 3rd of 18 18% of xG 12th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 8th of 18 13% of shots 16th of 18

Where they differ

  • Ajax see much more of the ball than Excelsior, 57% against 46%.
  • Excelsior get more of their chances from set pieces than Ajax, 26% against 18%.
  • Excelsior go more through the air than Ajax, 17% of shots against 13%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Excelsior Ajax
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 28 (2.8 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Total Shots 205 (20.5 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Shots on Target 72 (7.2 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Blocked Shots 51 (5.1 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Corners 58 (5.8 avg)
706 (78.4 avg) Attacks 849 (84.9 avg)
325 (36.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 492 (49.2 avg)
62 (6.2 avg) Key Passes 161 (16.1 avg)
3863 (386.3 avg) Passes 5801 (580.1 avg)
3055 (79%) Pass Accuracy 5137 (89%)
41% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Excelsior Ajax
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Fouls 95 (9.5 avg)
6 (0.7 avg) Offsides 18 (1.8 avg)
407 (40.7 avg) Duels Won 439 (43.9 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 117 (11.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

Ajax

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)