Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar

Sat 19 Dec, 15:30 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Excelsior win 20.3%
Draw 25.3%
AZ Alkmaar win · Most likely 54.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 60%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 81%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 58%Avg 61%
Excelsior clean sheet 15%Avg 25%
AZ Alkmaar clean sheet 32%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 59%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 65%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 43%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-29.9%
0-28.5%
0-18.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Excelsior
  • AZ Alkmaar

Did you know?

  • AZ Alkmaar beat Excelsior 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Excelsior's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Excelsior's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Excelsior have gone 7 matches without a win.

H2H

All 6 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
14 Feb 26 Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar
21 Jan 26 AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior
10 Mar 24 AZ Alkmaar 4–0 Excelsior
04 Nov 23 Excelsior 1–1 AZ Alkmaar
10 Feb 23 AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Excelsior
23 Oct 22 Excelsior 2–1 AZ Alkmaar
6meetings
  • Excelsior win · 1 (17%)
  • Draw · 2 (33%)
  • AZ Alkmaar win · 3 (50%)
Avg. total goals 3.17 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 67% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 67% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.33 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 2.83 League avg: 3.14
Excelsior avg. goals 0.83 League avg: 1.61
AZ Alkmaar avg. goals 2.33 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: AZ Alkmaar 5–0 Excelsior (10 Feb 23).

Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar head to head: in the previous 6 meetings, Excelsior have won once, AZ Alkmaar have won 3 times and 2 ended in a draw. Excelsior scored 5 goals and AZ Alkmaar scored 14 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 14 Feb 2026, was won 2-1 by AZ Alkmaar, away at Excelsior. AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 4 of 6 and 4 had over 2.5 goals. AZ Alkmaar kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Excelsior
  • Set piece heavy
  • Cedes possession
AZ Alkmaar
  • Plays on the floor
  • Keeps the ball
  • Selective shooters
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    46% 14th of 18 57% 5th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.11 xG a shot 11th of 18 0.12 xG a shot 6th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    26% of xG 3rd of 18 20% of xG 9th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    17% of shots 8th of 18 12% of shots 17th of 18

Where they differ

  • AZ Alkmaar see much more of the ball than Excelsior, 57% against 46%.
  • Excelsior go more through the air than AZ Alkmaar, 17% of shots against 12%.
  • Excelsior get more of their chances from set pieces than AZ Alkmaar, 26% against 20%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Excelsior AZ Alkmaar
12 (1.2 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
88 (8.8 avg) Total Shots 175 (17.5 avg)
29 (2.9 avg) Shots on Target 65 (6.5 avg)
28 (2.8 avg) Blocked Shots 45 (4.5 avg)
30 (3.0 avg) Corners 74 (7.4 avg)
706 (78.4 avg) Attacks 842 (93.6 avg)
325 (36.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 566 (62.9 avg)
62 (6.2 avg) Key Passes 141 (14.1 avg)
3863 (386.3 avg) Passes 5313 (531.3 avg)
3055 (79%) Pass Accuracy 4593 (86%)
41% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Excelsior AZ Alkmaar
1 (0.1 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
14 (1.4 avg) Yellow Cards 16 (1.6 avg)
137 (13.7 avg) Tackles 175 (17.5 avg)
113 (11.3 avg) Fouls 127 (12.7 avg)
6 (0.7 avg) Offsides 16 (1.8 avg)
407 (40.7 avg) Duels Won 494 (49.4 avg)
146 (14.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 116 (11.6 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Excelsior

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)

AZ Alkmaar

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)