Heerenveen vs Ajax

Sun 31 Jan, 11:15 UTC · Matchweek 21 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Heerenveen win 30.9%
Draw 26.2%
Ajax win · Most likely 42.9%

Event markets

Both teams to score 66%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 84%Avg 86%
Over 2.5 goals 62%Avg 61%
Heerenveen clean sheet 17%Avg 25%
Ajax clean sheet 23%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 72%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 60%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 65%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 43%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-28.9%
0-15.9%
0-25.9%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Heerenveen
  • Ajax

Did you know?

  • Ajax have scored in 10 consecutive matches.
  • Ajax beat Heerenveen 5-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Ajax have lost to Heerenveen just once in their last 11 meetings.
  • Ajax's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 11 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
16 Aug 26 Ajax 2–2 Heerenveen
17 May 26 Heerenveen 0–0 Ajax
01 Nov 25 Ajax 1–1 Heerenveen
19 Jan 25 Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax
11 Aug 24 Ajax 1–0 Heerenveen
11 Feb 24 Heerenveen 3–2 Ajax
05 Nov 23 Ajax 4–1 Heerenveen
12 Mar 23 Heerenveen 2–4 Ajax
10 Sep 22 Ajax 5–0 Heerenveen
11 May 22 Ajax 5–0 Heerenveen
16 Oct 21 Heerenveen 0–2 Ajax
11meetings
  • Heerenveen win · 1 (9%)
  • Draw · 3 (27%)
  • Ajax win · 7 (64%)
Avg. total goals 3.36 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 55% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 45% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 45% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 12.09 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 2.82 League avg: 3.14
Heerenveen avg. goals 0.82 League avg: 1.61
Ajax avg. goals 2.55 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Ajax 5–0 Heerenveen (10 Sep 22).

Heerenveen vs Ajax head to head: in the previous 11 meetings, Heerenveen have won once, Ajax have won 7 times and 3 ended in a draw. Heerenveen scored 9 goals and Ajax scored 28 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 16 Aug 2026, ended 2-2 at Ajax. Ajax are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 11 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Heerenveen kept 1 clean sheet and Ajax kept 6.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Heerenveen
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
  • Selective shooters
Ajax
  • Keeps the ball
  • Plays on the floor
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 8th of 18 57% 3rd of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 18 0.11 xG a shot 10th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    14% of xG 18th of 18 18% of xG 12th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    11% of shots 18th of 18 13% of shots 16th of 18

Where they differ

  • Heerenveen wait for better chances than Ajax, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.
  • Ajax get more of their chances from set pieces than Heerenveen, 18% against 14%.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Heerenveen Ajax
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 28 (2.8 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Total Shots 205 (20.5 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Shots on Target 72 (7.2 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 51 (5.1 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Corners 58 (5.8 avg)
886 (88.6 avg) Attacks 849 (84.9 avg)
514 (51.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 492 (49.2 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Key Passes 161 (16.1 avg)
4694 (469.4 avg) Passes 5801 (580.1 avg)
3973 (85%) Pass Accuracy 5137 (89%)
52% Ball Possession 60%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Heerenveen Ajax
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.0 avg) Yellow Cards 19 (1.9 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Tackles 137 (13.7 avg)
85 (8.5 avg) Fouls 95 (9.5 avg)
12 (1.3 avg) Offsides 18 (1.8 avg)
412 (41.2 avg) Duels Won 439 (43.9 avg)
108 (10.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 117 (11.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Heerenveen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Ajax

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
CS
  • Yes · 2 (20%)
  • No · 8 (80%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)