Heerenveen vs Utrecht

Sat 01 May, 17:00 UTC · Matchweek 31 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Heerenveen win · Most likely 43.4%
Draw 26.3%
Utrecht win 30.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 64%Avg 62%
Over 1.5 goals 83%Avg 85%
Over 2.5 goals 60%Avg 61%
Heerenveen clean sheet 24%Avg 25%
Utrecht clean sheet 18%Avg 16%
Over 8.5 corners 71%Avg 69%
Over 9.5 corners 60%Avg 55%
Over 2.5 cards 60%Avg 60%
Over 3.5 cards 38%Avg 38%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.0%
1-06.5%
2-06.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Heerenveen
  • Utrecht

Did you know?

  • Utrecht's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 10 of their last 10.
  • Utrecht have conceded in each of their last 10 matches.
  • Both teams have scored in 9 of Utrecht's last 10 matches.
  • Utrecht's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
01 Feb 26 Heerenveen 1–1 Utrecht
28 Sep 25 Utrecht 2–2 Heerenveen
30 Mar 25 Utrecht 2–0 Heerenveen
17 Aug 24 Heerenveen 1–1 Utrecht
07 Apr 24 Heerenveen 2–3 Utrecht
20 Aug 23 Utrecht 0–2 Heerenveen
04 Feb 23 Utrecht 1–0 Heerenveen
29 Oct 22 Heerenveen 1–2 Utrecht
27 Feb 22 Heerenveen 1–2 Utrecht
23 Oct 21 Utrecht 2–1 Heerenveen
10meetings
  • Heerenveen win · 1 (10%)
  • Draw · 3 (30%)
  • Utrecht win · 6 (60%)
Avg. total goals 2.70 League avg: 3.22
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 61%
Both teams to score 70% League avg: 62%
Whoever hosts wins 30% League avg: 43%
Avg. total corners 9.10 League avg: 10.35
Avg. total cards 3.30 League avg: 3.14
Heerenveen avg. goals 1.10 League avg: 1.61
Utrecht avg. goals 1.60 League avg: 1.61

Biggest win: Utrecht 2–0 Heerenveen (30 Mar 25).

Heerenveen vs Utrecht head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Heerenveen have won once, Utrecht have won 6 times and 3 ended in a draw. Heerenveen scored 11 goals and Utrecht scored 16 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 1 Feb 2026, ended 1-1 at Heerenveen. Utrecht are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 7 of 10 and 5 had over 2.5 goals. Heerenveen kept 1 clean sheet and Utrecht kept 2.

How they play

Each line runs across the 18 clubs of the league, from up to the last 19 league games of each. A marker at either end means the most or least of that measure.

Heerenveen
  • Open play side
  • Plays on the floor
  • Selective shooters
Utrecht
  • Set piece heavy
  • Crosses and headers
  • Possession
    Cedes the ballKeeps the ball
    51% 8th of 18 47% 12th of 18
  • Shot selection
    Shoots on sightWaits for the chance
    0.12 xG a shot 3rd of 18 0.11 xG a shot 12th of 18
  • Set pieces
    Open playSet pieces
    14% of xG 18th of 18 22% of xG 6th of 18
  • Route to goal
    On the groundCrosses and headers
    11% of shots 18th of 18 18% of shots 6th of 18

Where they differ

  • Utrecht get more of their chances from set pieces than Heerenveen, 22% against 14%.
  • Utrecht go more through the air than Heerenveen, 18% of shots against 11%.
  • Heerenveen wait for better chances than Utrecht, 0.12 xG a shot against 0.11.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Heerenveen Utrecht
18 (1.8 avg) Goals 18 (1.8 avg)
154 (15.4 avg) Total Shots 140 (14.0 avg)
57 (5.7 avg) Shots on Target 42 (4.2 avg)
40 (4.0 avg) Blocked Shots 46 (4.6 avg)
49 (4.9 avg) Corners 49 (4.9 avg)
886 (88.6 avg) Attacks 735 (81.7 avg)
514 (51.4 avg) Dangerous Attacks 370 (41.1 avg)
129 (12.9 avg) Key Passes 100 (10.0 avg)
4694 (469.4 avg) Passes 4274 (427.4 avg)
3973 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3452 (81%)
52% Ball Possession 48%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Heerenveen Utrecht
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.0 avg) Yellow Cards 21 (2.1 avg)
119 (11.9 avg) Tackles 157 (15.7 avg)
85 (8.5 avg) Fouls 161 (16.1 avg)
12 (1.3 avg) Offsides 10 (1.2 avg)
412 (41.2 avg) Duels Won 453 (45.3 avg)
108 (10.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 147 (14.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Heerenveen

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Utrecht

1.5Goals
  • Under · 0 (0%)
  • Over · 10 (100%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
CS
  • Yes · 0 (0%)
  • No · 10 (100%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 9 (90%)
  • No · 1 (10%)