Hoffenheim vs Mainz

Sat 15 May, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 33 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Hoffenheim win · Most likely 41.2%
Draw 23.5%
Mainz win 35.3%

Event markets

Both teams to score 70%Avg 59%
Over 1.5 goals 87%Avg 82%
Over 2.5 goals 69%Avg 62%
Hoffenheim clean sheet 18%Avg 26%
Mainz clean sheet 15%Avg 21%
Over 8.5 corners 70%Avg 62%
Over 9.5 corners 58%Avg 52%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 72%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 54%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-18.3%
1-05.0%
3-15.0%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Hoffenheim
  • Mainz

Did you know?

  • Hoffenheim's matches have gone over 2.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Hoffenheim's matches have gone over 1.5 goals in 9 of their last 10.
  • Both teams have scored in 8 of Hoffenheim's last 10 matches.
  • Hoffenheim's matches have had over 9.5 corners in 8 of their last 10 (corner data on file).

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
04 Apr 26 Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz
21 Nov 25 Mainz 1–1 Hoffenheim
12 Apr 25 Hoffenheim 2–0 Mainz
01 Dec 24 Mainz 2–0 Hoffenheim
13 Apr 24 Mainz 4–1 Hoffenheim
26 Nov 23 Hoffenheim 1–1 Mainz
04 Mar 23 Mainz 1–0 Hoffenheim
10 Sep 22 Hoffenheim 4–1 Mainz
05 Feb 22 Mainz 2–0 Hoffenheim
11 Sep 21 Hoffenheim 0–2 Mainz
21 Mar 21 Hoffenheim 1–2 Mainz
29 Nov 20 Mainz 1–1 Hoffenheim
30 May 20 Mainz 0–1 Hoffenheim
24 Nov 19 Hoffenheim 1–5 Mainz
18 May 19 Mainz 4–2 Hoffenheim
23 Dec 18 Hoffenheim 1–1 Mainz
16meetings
  • Hoffenheim win · 3 (19%)
  • Draw · 4 (25%)
  • Mainz win · 9 (56%)
Avg. total goals 2.88 League avg: 3.20
Over 2.5 goals 38% League avg: 62%
Both teams to score 62% League avg: 59%
Whoever hosts wins 44% League avg: 42%
Avg. total corners 12.00 League avg: 9.96
Avg. total cards 4.31 League avg: 3.82
Hoffenheim avg. goals 1.06 League avg: 1.60
Mainz avg. goals 1.81 League avg: 1.60

Biggest win: Hoffenheim 1–5 Mainz (24 Nov 19).

Hoffenheim vs Mainz head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Hoffenheim have won 3 times, Mainz have won 9 times and 4 ended in a draw. Hoffenheim scored 17 goals and Mainz scored 29 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 4 Apr 2026, was won 2-1 by Mainz, away at Hoffenheim. Across these matches, both teams scored in 10 of 16 and 6 had over 2.5 goals. Hoffenheim kept 2 clean sheets and Mainz kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Hoffenheim Mainz
9 (1.8 avg) Goals 14 (2.3 avg)
93 (18.6 avg) Total Shots 106 (17.7 avg)
24 (4.8 avg) Shots on Target 36 (6.0 avg)
35 (7.0 avg) Blocked Shots 26 (4.3 avg)
34 (6.8 avg) Corners 29 (4.8 avg)
667 (133.4 avg) Attacks 628 (104.7 avg)
350 (70.0 avg) Dangerous Attacks 318 (53.0 avg)
73 (14.6 avg) Key Passes 81 (13.5 avg)
2551 (510.2 avg) Passes 2676 (446.0 avg)
2086 (82%) Pass Accuracy 2139 (80%)
58% Ball Possession 51%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Hoffenheim Mainz
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
11 (2.2 avg) Yellow Cards 14 (2.3 avg)
78 (15.6 avg) Tackles 102 (17.0 avg)
67 (13.4 avg) Fouls 83 (13.8 avg)
9 (2.2 avg) Offsides 12 (2.0 avg)
263 (52.6 avg) Duels Won 315 (52.5 avg)
108 (21.6 avg) Aerial Duels Won 124 (20.7 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Hoffenheim

1.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (10%)
  • Over · 9 (90%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
CS
  • Yes · 1 (10%)
  • No · 9 (90%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 8 (80%)
  • No · 2 (20%)

Mainz

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 1 (11%)
  • Over · 8 (89%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (22%)
  • Over · 7 (78%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 6 (60%)
  • No · 4 (40%)