Lille vs Marseille

Sat 06 Mar, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 23 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Lille win · Most likely 47.8%
Draw 26.5%
Marseille win 25.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 55%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 76%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 55%
Lille clean sheet 32%Avg 30%
Marseille clean sheet 20%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 66%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 53%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 77%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 58%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-010.2%
2-19.6%
2-08.1%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Lille
  • Marseille

Did you know?

  • Lille have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Lille's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Marseille have underscored their xG by 0.55 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Marseille have won just 3 of their last 10 away matches.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Mar 26 Marseille 1–2 Lille
05 Dec 25 Lille 1–0 Marseille
04 May 25 Lille 1–1 Marseille
14 Dec 24 Marseille 1–1 Lille
05 Apr 24 Lille 3–1 Marseille
04 Nov 23 Marseille 0–0 Lille
20 May 23 Lille 2–1 Marseille
10 Sep 22 Marseille 2–1 Lille
16 Jan 22 Marseille 1–1 Lille
03 Oct 21 Lille 2–0 Marseille
03 Mar 21 Lille 2–0 Marseille
20 Sep 20 Marseille 1–1 Lille
16 Feb 20 Lille 1–2 Marseille
02 Nov 19 Marseille 2–1 Lille
25 Jan 19 Marseille 1–2 Lille
30 Sep 18 Lille 3–0 Marseille
16meetings
  • Lille win · 8 (50%)
  • Draw · 5 (31%)
  • Marseille win · 3 (19%)
Avg. total goals 2.38 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 69% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.38 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 3.80
Lille avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.44
Marseille avg. goals 0.88 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Lille 3–0 Marseille (30 Sep 18).

Lille vs Marseille head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Lille have won 8 times, Marseille have won 3 times and 5 ended in a draw. Lille scored 24 goals and Marseille scored 14 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 22 Mar 2026, was won 2-1 by Lille, away at Marseille. Lille are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 16 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Lille kept 5 clean sheets and Marseille kept 1.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Lille Marseille
10 (1.4 avg) Goals 9 (1.5 avg)
86 (12.3 avg) Total Shots 71 (11.8 avg)
38 (5.4 avg) Shots on Target 26 (4.3 avg)
18 (2.6 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (3.0 avg)
23 (3.3 avg) Corners 26 (4.3 avg)
670 (95.7 avg) Attacks 707 (117.8 avg)
302 (43.1 avg) Dangerous Attacks 352 (58.7 avg)
64 (9.1 avg) Key Passes 50 (8.3 avg)
3367 (481.0 avg) Passes 3548 (591.3 avg)
2918 (87%) Pass Accuracy 3152 (89%)
50% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Lille Marseille
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
9 (1.3 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (1.7 avg)
114 (16.3 avg) Tackles 82 (13.7 avg)
82 (11.7 avg) Fouls 63 (10.5 avg)
18 (2.6 avg) Offsides 7 (1.4 avg)
329 (47.0 avg) Duels Won 256 (42.7 avg)
71 (10.1 avg) Aerial Duels Won 72 (12.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Lille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)