Lorient vs Marseille

Sat 23 Jan, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 17 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Lorient win · Most likely 38.0%
Draw 27.3%
Marseille win 34.7%

Event markets

Both teams to score 57%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 75%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 51%Avg 55%
Lorient clean sheet 26%Avg 30%
Marseille clean sheet 24%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 53%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 40%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 71%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 50%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

1-09.0%
2-18.6%
2-06.2%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Lorient
  • Marseille

Did you know?

  • Marseille have lost to Lorient just once in their last 10 meetings.
  • Marseille beat Lorient 4-0 in the biggest recent win between these two.
  • Marseille have underscored their xG by 0.55 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.
  • Lorient have won just 3 of their last 10 matches.

H2H

All 10 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
18 Apr 26 Lorient 2–0 Marseille
12 Sep 25 Marseille 4–0 Lorient
12 May 24 Marseille 3–1 Lorient
10 Dec 23 Lorient 2–4 Marseille
09 Apr 23 Lorient 0–0 Marseille
14 Jan 23 Marseille 3–1 Lorient
08 May 22 Lorient 0–3 Marseille
17 Oct 21 Marseille 4–1 Lorient
17 Apr 21 Marseille 3–2 Lorient
24 Oct 20 Lorient 0–1 Marseille
10meetings
  • Lorient win · 1 (10%)
  • Draw · 1 (10%)
  • Marseille win · 8 (80%)
Avg. total goals 3.40 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 70% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 50% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 60% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 10.30 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 3.80 League avg: 3.80
Lorient avg. goals 0.90 League avg: 1.44
Marseille avg. goals 2.50 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Marseille 4–0 Lorient (12 Sep 25).

Lorient vs Marseille head to head: in the previous 10 meetings, Lorient have won once, Marseille have won 8 times and 1 ended in a draw. Lorient scored 9 goals and Marseille scored 25 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 18 Apr 2026, was won 2-0 by Lorient, at home against Marseille. Across these matches, both teams scored in 5 of 10 and 7 had over 2.5 goals. Lorient kept 2 clean sheets and Marseille kept 4.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Lorient Marseille
6 (1.0 avg) Goals 9 (1.5 avg)
60 (10.0 avg) Total Shots 71 (11.8 avg)
21 (3.5 avg) Shots on Target 26 (4.3 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (3.0 avg)
15 (2.5 avg) Corners 26 (4.3 avg)
423 (70.5 avg) Attacks 707 (117.8 avg)
208 (34.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 352 (58.7 avg)
45 (7.5 avg) Key Passes 50 (8.3 avg)
2911 (485.2 avg) Passes 3548 (591.3 avg)
2468 (85%) Pass Accuracy 3152 (89%)
47% Ball Possession 58%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Lorient Marseille
0 (0.0 avg) Red Cards 1 (0.2 avg)
6 (1.0 avg) Yellow Cards 10 (1.7 avg)
91 (15.2 avg) Tackles 82 (13.7 avg)
55 (9.2 avg) Fouls 63 (10.5 avg)
4 (0.7 avg) Offsides 7 (1.4 avg)
314 (52.3 avg) Duels Won 256 (42.7 avg)
95 (15.8 avg) Aerial Duels Won 72 (12.0 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Lorient

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
CS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)