Marseille vs Lille

Sat 16 Jan, 00:00 UTC · Matchweek 16 · probabilities and historical statistics

Predicted outcome

Marseille win · Most likely 43.8%
Draw 25.8%
Lille win 30.4%

Event markets

Both teams to score 61%Avg 54%
Over 1.5 goals 79%Avg 76%
Over 2.5 goals 57%Avg 55%
Marseille clean sheet 26%Avg 30%
Lille clean sheet 19%Avg 23%
Over 8.5 corners 63%Avg 59%
Over 9.5 corners 50%Avg 46%
Over 2.5 cards 78%Avg 76%
Over 3.5 cards 60%Avg 56%

This match League average

Predicted Score

2-19.2%
1-08.1%
2-06.6%

Team comparison

Attack Defense Form Discipline Cleansheets
  • Marseille
  • Lille

Did you know?

  • Lille have scored in 7 consecutive matches.
  • Lille's matches have stayed under 2.5 goals in 8 of their last 10.
  • Lille have won 8 of their last 10 away matches.
  • Marseille have underscored their xG by 0.55 goals per game over their last 9. They have created more than the scoreline shows.

H2H

All 16 meetings on file.

DateHomeScoreAway
22 Mar 26 Marseille 1–2 Lille
05 Dec 25 Lille 1–0 Marseille
04 May 25 Lille 1–1 Marseille
14 Dec 24 Marseille 1–1 Lille
05 Apr 24 Lille 3–1 Marseille
04 Nov 23 Marseille 0–0 Lille
20 May 23 Lille 2–1 Marseille
10 Sep 22 Marseille 2–1 Lille
16 Jan 22 Marseille 1–1 Lille
03 Oct 21 Lille 2–0 Marseille
03 Mar 21 Lille 2–0 Marseille
20 Sep 20 Marseille 1–1 Lille
16 Feb 20 Lille 1–2 Marseille
02 Nov 19 Marseille 2–1 Lille
25 Jan 19 Marseille 1–2 Lille
30 Sep 18 Lille 3–0 Marseille
16meetings
  • Marseille win · 3 (19%)
  • Draw · 5 (31%)
  • Lille win · 8 (50%)
Avg. total goals 2.38 League avg: 2.88
Over 2.5 goals 50% League avg: 55%
Both teams to score 69% League avg: 54%
Whoever hosts wins 50% League avg: 46%
Avg. total corners 9.38 League avg: 9.61
Avg. total cards 5.00 League avg: 3.80
Marseille avg. goals 0.88 League avg: 1.44
Lille avg. goals 1.50 League avg: 1.44

Biggest win: Lille 3–0 Marseille (30 Sep 18).

Marseille vs Lille head to head: in the previous 16 meetings, Marseille have won 3 times, Lille have won 8 times and 5 ended in a draw. Marseille scored 14 goals and Lille scored 24 goals in these matches. The latest meeting, on 22 Mar 2026, was won 2-1 by Lille, away at Marseille. Lille are unbeaten in the last 7 meetings. Across these matches, both teams scored in 11 of 16 and 8 had over 2.5 goals. Marseille kept 1 clean sheet and Lille kept 5.

Ball Stats (Last 10 games)

Marseille Lille
9 (1.5 avg) Goals 10 (1.4 avg)
71 (11.8 avg) Total Shots 86 (12.3 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Shots on Target 38 (5.4 avg)
18 (3.0 avg) Blocked Shots 18 (2.6 avg)
26 (4.3 avg) Corners 23 (3.3 avg)
707 (117.8 avg) Attacks 670 (95.7 avg)
352 (58.7 avg) Dangerous Attacks 302 (43.1 avg)
50 (8.3 avg) Key Passes 64 (9.1 avg)
3548 (591.3 avg) Passes 3367 (481.0 avg)
3152 (89%) Pass Accuracy 2918 (87%)
58% Ball Possession 50%

Disciplinary/Tackles (Last 10 games)

Marseille Lille
1 (0.2 avg) Red Cards 0 (0.0 avg)
10 (1.7 avg) Yellow Cards 9 (1.3 avg)
82 (13.7 avg) Tackles 114 (16.3 avg)
63 (10.5 avg) Fouls 82 (11.7 avg)
7 (1.4 avg) Offsides 18 (2.6 avg)
256 (42.7 avg) Duels Won 329 (47.0 avg)
72 (12.0 avg) Aerial Duels Won 71 (10.1 avg)

Previous Game Statistics (Last 10)

Marseille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 2 (20%)
  • Over · 8 (80%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 5 (50%)
  • Over · 5 (50%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (40%)
  • Over · 6 (60%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 7 (70%)
  • Over · 3 (30%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (60%)
  • Over · 4 (40%)
CS
  • Yes · 3 (30%)
  • No · 7 (70%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)

Lille

1.5Goals
  • Under · 3 (30%)
  • Over · 7 (70%)
7.5Corners
  • Under · 4 (44%)
  • Over · 5 (56%)
2.5Goals
  • Under · 8 (80%)
  • Over · 2 (20%)
8.5Corners
  • Under · 5 (56%)
  • Over · 4 (44%)
3.5Goals
  • Under · 9 (90%)
  • Over · 1 (10%)
9.5Corners
  • Under · 6 (67%)
  • Over · 3 (33%)
CS
  • Yes · 5 (50%)
  • No · 5 (50%)
BTTS
  • Yes · 4 (40%)
  • No · 6 (60%)